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Charlotte

Also known as: Charlotte 49ers, Charlotte
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

69.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
43.0%
FG%
38.3%
3P%
65.4%
FT%
38.5
RPG
12.3
APG
12.5
TO
64.3
Est. poss./game
65.9
Adj PPG
69.6
Adj Opp PPG
#203
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 939 (returning production + recruiting): last season 988, returning -36, transfers +6, freshmen -20 More โ†’ 946 (#165) Preseason prior 939 (returning production + recruiting): last season 988, returning -36, transfers +6, freshmen -20
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +206 elo More โ†’ 961 (#189) HCA +206 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +205 elo More โ†’ 960 (#193) HCA +205 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -4.0 (#201) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -3.9 (#202) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.502 (#147) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.8 More โ†’ 0.475 (#165) AdjNet -0.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.0 More โ†’ 0.472 (#168) AdjNet -1.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 69.6 More โ†’ 0.432 (#203) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 69.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 69.6 More โ†’ 0.430 (#204) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 69.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.439 (#184) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.438 (#184) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 167 | GP 4 More โ†’ 974 (#170) RD 167 | GP 4
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.473 (#158) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 78 - 70
2026-11-05 vs Georgia State Panthers W 77 - 67
2026-11-09 vs Seton Hall Pirates L 62 - 68
2026-11-13 vs App State Mountaineers L 60 - 66
2026-11-17 @ Davidson Wildcats - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Keyshuan Tillery Keyshuan Tillery G 4 33.2 24.0 3.0 3.8 0.8 0.2 3.5 15.8 12.5 -9 3 -3.0 -3.6 46.0 50.0 82.1 -0.79 63.7 57.9
Dorian Finister Dorian Finister G 4 26.8 7.5 5.2 3.2 0.5 0.5 1.5 6.2 9.2 19 3 6.3 10.2 36.0 33.3 75.0 0.4 49.5 42.0
Frank Oguche Frank Oguche G 4 19.2 6.5 3.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.8 5.0 -1 3 -0.3 -0.7 34.8 31.2 100.0 -0.17 51.6 45.7
Michael Walz Michael Walz C 4 21.2 5.8 4.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 1.0 5.0 6.2 9 3 3.0 5.1 45.0 40.0 50.0 0.47 55.1 55.0
Chaze Harris Chaze Harris G 4 14.0 5.0 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.5 5.2 1.2 -14 3 -4.7 -10.8 38.1 0.0 50.0 -0.13 40.8 38.1
Miguel Allen Miguel Allen F 4 18.2 4.5 3.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.5 3.8 6.0 -20 3 -6.7 -15.1 46.7 0.0 80.0 -0.96 52.3 46.7
Arden Conyers Arden Conyers F 4 8.8 3.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 1.8 12 3 4.0 16.9 62.5 62.5 0 0.14 93.8 93.8
Tyler McKinley Tyler McKinley F 4 15.5 3.8 3.0 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.2 2.8 4.8 -21 3 -7.0 -18.5 54.5 0 33.3 -1.29 50.1 54.5
Jordi Rodriguez Jordi Rodriguez G 4 17.2 3.2 3.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 3.8 4.0 -12 3 -4.0 -10.1 33.3 23.1 0.0 -1.75 39.8 43.3
Dylan Grant Dylan Grant F 4 12.8 3.0 2.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.8 2.8 10 3 3.3 12.2 45.5 50.0 25.0 0.27 47.0 50.0
Peyton Marshall Peyton Marshall C 3 4.3 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.7 -4 2 -2.0 -16.8 66.7 0 0 -0.52 66.7 66.7
Jayden Fort Jayden Fort F 4 8.8 1.2 3.2 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.8 1.2 3.8 14 3 4.7 20.8 40.0 0 50.0 0.62 42.5 40.0
Lance Barnes Lance Barnes G 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 -3 1 -3.0 -2400.0 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ryan Evans Ryan Evans G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Charlotte players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Charlotte game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Brice Williams 2019-23 G League Motor City Cruise 0 - - - - 11-10 28 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast Play-In 1 GP, 28.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 2.0 APG
Caleb Stone-Carrawell 2020-21 G League Raptors 905 0 - - - - 11-12 12 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast Play-In 4 GP, 7.5 PPG, 1.0 RPG, 1.2 APG
Igor Milicic Jr. 2022-24 G League Westchester Knicks 0 - - - - 11-14 7 pts, 4 reb, 1 ast Play-In 3 GP, 11.7 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 1.3 APG
Jahmir Young 2019-22 G League South Bay Lakers 0 - - - - 11-12 25 pts, 7 reb, 3 ast Play-In 4 GP, 18.2 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 5.2 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-14 Igor Milicic Jr. G League Play-In Westchester Knicks vs Greensboro Swarm 30 7 4 1 Box
2026-11-12 Jahmir Young G League Play-In South Bay Lakers @ Valley Suns 37 25 7 3 Box
2026-11-12 Caleb Stone-Carrawell G League Play-In Raptors 905 vs Greensboro Swarm 33 12 3 1 Box
2026-11-11 Caleb Stone-Carrawell G League Play-In Raptors 905 vs Greensboro Swarm 21 8 1 2 Box
2026-11-10 Jahmir Young G League Play-In South Bay Lakers vs San Diego Clippers 32 18 3 7 Box
2026-11-10 Brice Williams G League Play-In Motor City Cruise @ Cleveland Charge 25 28 2 2 Box
2026-11-09 Jahmir Young G League Play-In South Bay Lakers vs San Diego Clippers 36 21 4 7 Box
2026-11-08 Igor Milicic Jr. G League Play-In Westchester Knicks @ Maine Celtics 30 17 6 2 Box
2026-11-08 Caleb Stone-Carrawell G League Play-In Raptors 905 @ College Park Skyhawks 17 10 0 2 Box
2026-11-06 Igor Milicic Jr. G League Play-In Westchester Knicks @ Maine Celtics 17 11 3 1 Box
2026-10-10 Brice Williams NBA Preseason Detroit Pistons @ Washington Wizards 11 0 2 1 Box
2026-10-05 Brice Williams NBA Preseason Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns 6 3 0 1 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

221 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Tillery19% Tillery29% Finister100% Tillery100% Conyers33% Finister33% Tillery36% Tillery50% Tillery62%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Tillery23% Tillery34% Finister40% Oguche50% Finister29% Oguche50% Oguche29% Tillery31% Harris22% Tillery32%
Misses: who misses most here

Keyshuan TilleryDorian FinisterFrank OgucheChaze HarrisArden Conyers

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 42-64 65.6 84 Keyshuan Tillery 19% (16 pts) Chaze Harris 17% (14 pts) Keyshuan Tillery 23% (5 misses) Chaze Harris 14% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 14-46 30.4 28 Keyshuan Tillery 29% (8 pts) Dorian Finister 14% (4 pts) Keyshuan Tillery 34% (11 misses) Chaze Harris 16% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 1-6 16.7 2 Dorian Finister 100% (2 pts) - Dorian Finister 40% (2 misses) Frank Oguche 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-2 0.0 0 - - Frank Oguche 50% (1 misses) Keyshuan Tillery 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 2-9 22.2 4 Keyshuan Tillery 100% (4 pts) - Dorian Finister 29% (2 misses) Keyshuan Tillery 29% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 3-7 42.9 9 Arden Conyers 33% (3 pts) Frank Oguche 33% (3 pts) Frank Oguche 50% (2 misses) Chaze Harris 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 3-10 30.0 9 Dorian Finister 33% (3 pts) Dylan Grant 33% (3 pts) Frank Oguche 29% (2 misses) Arden Conyers 14% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 11-27 40.7 33 Keyshuan Tillery 36% (12 pts) Arden Conyers 18% (6 pts) Keyshuan Tillery 31% (5 misses) Jordi Rodriguez 19% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 6-15 40.0 18 Keyshuan Tillery 50% (9 pts) Arden Conyers 17% (3 pts) Chaze Harris 22% (2 misses) Keyshuan Tillery 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 13-35 37.1 39 Keyshuan Tillery 62% (24 pts) Michael Walz 15% (6 pts) Keyshuan Tillery 32% (7 misses) Frank Oguche 18% (4 misses)