Charlotte
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 946 (#165) | Preseason prior 939 (returning production + recruiting): last season 988, returning -36, transfers +6, freshmen -20 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 961 (#189) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 960 (#193) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -4.0 (#201) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -3.9 (#202) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.502 (#147) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.475 (#165) | AdjNet -0.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.472 (#168) | AdjNet -1.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.432 (#203) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.430 (#204) | AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.439 (#184) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.438 (#184) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 974 (#170) | RD 167 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.473 (#158) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Indiana State Sycamores | W | 78 - 70 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Georgia State Panthers | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Seton Hall Pirates | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | App State Mountaineers | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Davidson Wildcats | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keyshuan Tillery
|
G | 4 | 33.2 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 15.8 | 12.5 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -3.6 | 46.0 | 50.0 | 82.1 | -0.79 | 63.7 | 57.9 |
Dorian Finister
|
G | 4 | 26.8 | 7.5 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 9.2 | 19 | 3 | 6.3 | 10.2 | 36.0 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.4 | 49.5 | 42.0 |
Frank Oguche
|
G | 4 | 19.2 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8 | 5.0 | -1 | 3 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 34.8 | 31.2 | 100.0 | -0.17 | 51.6 | 45.7 |
Michael Walz
|
C | 4 | 21.2 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 6.2 | 9 | 3 | 3.0 | 5.1 | 45.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.47 | 55.1 | 55.0 |
Chaze Harris
|
G | 4 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 1.2 | -14 | 3 | -4.7 | -10.8 | 38.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.13 | 40.8 | 38.1 |
Miguel Allen
|
F | 4 | 18.2 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.8 | 6.0 | -20 | 3 | -6.7 | -15.1 | 46.7 | 0.0 | 80.0 | -0.96 | 52.3 | 46.7 |
Arden Conyers
|
F | 4 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 12 | 3 | 4.0 | 16.9 | 62.5 | 62.5 | 0 | 0.14 | 93.8 | 93.8 |
Tyler McKinley
|
F | 4 | 15.5 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 4.8 | -21 | 3 | -7.0 | -18.5 | 54.5 | 0 | 33.3 | -1.29 | 50.1 | 54.5 |
Jordi Rodriguez
|
G | 4 | 17.2 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 4.0 | -12 | 3 | -4.0 | -10.1 | 33.3 | 23.1 | 0.0 | -1.75 | 39.8 | 43.3 |
Dylan Grant
|
F | 4 | 12.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 10 | 3 | 3.3 | 12.2 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0.27 | 47.0 | 50.0 |
Peyton Marshall
|
C | 3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | -4 | 2 | -2.0 | -16.8 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.52 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
Jayden Fort
|
F | 4 | 8.8 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 14 | 3 | 4.7 | 20.8 | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.62 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
Lance Barnes
|
G | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | -3 | 1 | -3.0 | -2400.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Ryan Evans
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Charlotte players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Charlotte game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Williams | 2019-23 | G League | Motor City Cruise | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-10 28 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast Play-In | 1 GP, 28.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Caleb Stone-Carrawell | 2020-21 | G League | Raptors 905 | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-12 12 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast Play-In | 4 GP, 7.5 PPG, 1.0 RPG, 1.2 APG |
| Igor Milicic Jr. | 2022-24 | G League | Westchester Knicks | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-14 7 pts, 4 reb, 1 ast Play-In | 3 GP, 11.7 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 1.3 APG |
| Jahmir Young | 2019-22 | G League | South Bay Lakers | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-12 25 pts, 7 reb, 3 ast Play-In | 4 GP, 18.2 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 5.2 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Igor Milicic Jr. | G League Play-In | Westchester Knicks | vs Greensboro Swarm | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Jahmir Young | G League Play-In | South Bay Lakers | @ Valley Suns | 37 | 25 | 7 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Caleb Stone-Carrawell | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | vs Greensboro Swarm | 33 | 12 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Caleb Stone-Carrawell | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | vs Greensboro Swarm | 21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Jahmir Young | G League Play-In | South Bay Lakers | vs San Diego Clippers | 32 | 18 | 3 | 7 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Brice Williams | G League Play-In | Motor City Cruise | @ Cleveland Charge | 25 | 28 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Jahmir Young | G League Play-In | South Bay Lakers | vs San Diego Clippers | 36 | 21 | 4 | 7 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Igor Milicic Jr. | G League Play-In | Westchester Knicks | @ Maine Celtics | 30 | 17 | 6 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Caleb Stone-Carrawell | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | @ College Park Skyhawks | 17 | 10 | 0 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Igor Milicic Jr. | G League Play-In | Westchester Knicks | @ Maine Celtics | 17 | 11 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-10 | Brice Williams | NBA Preseason | Detroit Pistons | @ Washington Wizards | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-05 | Brice Williams | NBA Preseason | Detroit Pistons | vs Phoenix Suns | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
221 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Keyshuan TilleryDorian FinisterFrank OgucheChaze HarrisArden Conyers
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 42-64 | 65.6 | 84 | Keyshuan Tillery 19% (16 pts) | Chaze Harris 17% (14 pts) | Keyshuan Tillery 23% (5 misses) | Chaze Harris 14% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 14-46 | 30.4 | 28 | Keyshuan Tillery 29% (8 pts) | Dorian Finister 14% (4 pts) | Keyshuan Tillery 34% (11 misses) | Chaze Harris 16% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-6 | 16.7 | 2 | Dorian Finister 100% (2 pts) | - | Dorian Finister 40% (2 misses) | Frank Oguche 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Frank Oguche 50% (1 misses) | Keyshuan Tillery 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-9 | 22.2 | 4 | Keyshuan Tillery 100% (4 pts) | - | Dorian Finister 29% (2 misses) | Keyshuan Tillery 29% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-7 | 42.9 | 9 | Arden Conyers 33% (3 pts) | Frank Oguche 33% (3 pts) | Frank Oguche 50% (2 misses) | Chaze Harris 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Dorian Finister 33% (3 pts) | Dylan Grant 33% (3 pts) | Frank Oguche 29% (2 misses) | Arden Conyers 14% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 11-27 | 40.7 | 33 | Keyshuan Tillery 36% (12 pts) | Arden Conyers 18% (6 pts) | Keyshuan Tillery 31% (5 misses) | Jordi Rodriguez 19% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 6-15 | 40.0 | 18 | Keyshuan Tillery 50% (9 pts) | Arden Conyers 17% (3 pts) | Chaze Harris 22% (2 misses) | Keyshuan Tillery 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 13-35 | 37.1 | 39 | Keyshuan Tillery 62% (24 pts) | Michael Walz 15% (6 pts) | Keyshuan Tillery 32% (7 misses) | Frank Oguche 18% (4 misses) |