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Appalachian State

2026-2027: 3-1 · Sun Belt

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023
Also known as: Appalachian State Mountaineers
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

72.5
PPG
56.8
Opp
+15.8
Margin
43.8%
FG%
32.5%
3P%
63.1%
FT%
42.5
RPG
13.5
APG
10.0
TO
63.2
Est. poss./game
64.8
Adj PPG
62.8
Adj Opp PPG
#159
Adj Margin Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 878 (roster + recruiting): base (last-season Elo, regressed) 981, returning -33, transfers -63, freshmen -7 More โ†’ 937 (#170) Preseason prior 878 (roster + recruiting): base (last-season Elo, regressed) 981, returning -33, transfers -63, freshmen -7
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +194 elo More โ†’ 975 (#175) HCA +194 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +193 elo More โ†’ 976 (#175) HCA +193 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +0.4 (#154) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +0.4 (#154) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.414 (#174) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.8 More โ†’ 0.479 (#158) AdjNet +1.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.1 More โ†’ 0.482 (#158) AdjNet +2.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 62.8 More โ†’ 0.486 (#159) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 62.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 62.9 More โ†’ 0.487 (#160) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 62.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.491 (#156) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.491 (#156) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 177 | GP 3 More โ†’ 985 (#164) RD 177 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.433 (#184) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Nums/G PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaylen Colon Jaylen Colon G 4 30.2 12.2 5.2 2.5 0.8 0.0 0.8 10.8 9.2 -1 3 -0.3 -0.4 37.2 37.5 100.0 -0.6 55.8 54.7
Ben Kopetzki Ben Kopetzki G 4 27.2 11.5 4.8 1.5 0.2 0.2 1.0 11.5 5.8 9 3 3.0 3.6 34.8 40.9 100.0 -0.12 47.7 44.6
Eren Banks Eren Banks G 4 27.5 11.2 3.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.8 10.2 6.0 11 3 3.7 4.4 41.5 20.0 70.0 0.38 49.6 46.3
Bryan Chretien Bryan Chretien C 1 8.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 - - - - 83.3 - 0.0 - 77.6 83.3
Da'Mori Lytch Da'Mori Lytch F 4 16.5 6.2 4.8 1.0 0.8 0.2 1.2 3.5 8.2 -12 3 -4.0 -9.8 71.4 50.0 57.1 -0.61 73.2 75.0
Jonathan Moss Jonathan Moss G 3 14.7 5.7 1.7 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.7 4.7 -6 2 -3.0 -9.7 35.7 33.3 83.3 -0.5 51.1 42.9
Corbin Allen Corbin Allen G 2 7.5 5.5 3.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.5 -3 1 -3.0 -62.6 62.5 33.3 0.0 -0.3 61.9 68.8
Mason Costello Mason Costello G 3 9.3 5.0 1.7 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.3 4.0 3.3 -9 2 -4.5 -29.7 41.7 25.0 100.0 -0.49 56.3 50.0
Ted Neal Ted Neal G 4 16.0 4.8 2.8 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.8 3.5 5.8 -5 3 -1.7 -3.7 57.1 0.0 75.0 -0.64 60.3 57.1
Chad Moodie Chad Moodie F 4 21.2 4.0 4.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 0.8 3.0 6.2 4 3 1.3 2.1 41.7 - 60.0 -1.67 48.8 41.7
Luke Ledford Luke Ledford G 1 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - - 50.0 100.0 - - 75.0 75.0
Jackson Love Jackson Love G 1 7.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - - 100.0 100.0 - - 150.0 150.0
Rrezon Elezaj Rrezon Elezaj C 4 10.5 2.5 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 4.8 9 3 3.0 11.2 75.0 0.0 66.7 -0.28 75.3 75.0
Grant Clayton Grant Clayton F 1 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 - - - - 33.3 - - - 33.3 33.3
Andrin Njock Andrin Njock F 4 10.5 2.0 2.0 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.5 1.2 4.0 -1 3 -0.3 -1.4 80.0 0.0 0.0 -0.98 63.3 80.0
Cameron O'Kelley Cameron O'Kelley G 1 8.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 66.7 - 23.1 0.0
Hermann Koffi Hermann Koffi G 4 6.0 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.2 -3 3 -1.0 -9.8 33.3 33.3 0.0 -1.66 41.0 50.0
KJ Vasser KJ Vasser G 2 7.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -0.5 -3 1 -3.0 -62.6 16.7 16.7 - -0.3 25.0 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Nums/G = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA per game, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Appalachian State players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Appalachian State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
CJ Huntley 2020-25 G League Valley Suns 3 Tip-Off Tournament 27.9 14.0 7.0 1.0 11-12 17 pts, 6 reb, 0 ast Tip-Off Tournament 3 GP, 14.0 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 1.0 APG
Christopher Mantis 2021-24 G League Texas Legends 3 Tip-Off Tournament 35.5 12.7 3.3 2.7 11-13 15 pts, 4 reb, 5 ast Tip-Off Tournament 3 GP, 12.7 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.7 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-13 Christopher Mantis G League Tip-Off Tournament Texas Legends vs Rio Grande Valley Vipers 42 15 4 5 Box
2026-11-12 CJ Huntley G League Tip-Off Tournament Valley Suns vs South Bay Lakers 27 17 6 0 Box
2026-11-10 Christopher Mantis G League Tip-Off Tournament Texas Legends @ Mexico City Capitanes 39 21 3 2 Box
2026-11-10 CJ Huntley G League Tip-Off Tournament Valley Suns @ Stockton Kings 26 14 5 1 Box
2026-11-08 Christopher Mantis G League Tip-Off Tournament Texas Legends @ Mexico City Capitanes 26 2 3 1 Box
2026-11-06 CJ Huntley G League Tip-Off Tournament Valley Suns @ San Diego Clippers 31 11 10 2 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

240 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Lytch21% Banks33% Kopetzki40% Moss50% Kopetzki20% Koffi33% Lytch50% Colon46% Colon50% Kopetzki33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Moodie31% Kopetzki25% Kopetzki57% Kopetzki75% Kopetzki43% Njock33% Kopetzki40% Banks27% Colon47% Colon36%
Misses: who misses most here

Jaylen ColonBen KopetzkiEren BanksDa'Mori LytchJonathan MossChad MoodieAndrin NjockHermann Koffi

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 33-49 67.3 66 Da'Mori Lytch 21% (14 pts) Andrin Njock 12% (8 pts) Chad Moodie 31% (5 misses) Ben Kopetzki 12% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 21-41 51.2 42 Eren Banks 33% (14 pts) Ben Kopetzki 19% (8 pts) Ben Kopetzki 25% (5 misses) Eren Banks 15% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 5-12 41.7 10 Ben Kopetzki 40% (4 pts) Eren Banks 20% (2 pts) Ben Kopetzki 57% (4 misses) Eren Banks 29% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 2-6 33.3 4 Jonathan Moss 50% (2 pts) Ted Neal 50% (2 pts) Ben Kopetzki 75% (3 misses) Eren Banks 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 5-12 41.7 10 Ben Kopetzki 20% (2 pts) Eren Banks 20% (2 pts) Ben Kopetzki 43% (3 misses) Corbin Allen 14% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 3-6 50.0 9 Hermann Koffi 33% (3 pts) Jackson Love 33% (3 pts) Andrin Njock 33% (1 misses) KJ Vasser 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-7 28.6 6 Da'Mori Lytch 50% (3 pts) Jaylen Colon 50% (3 pts) Ben Kopetzki 40% (2 misses) Da'Mori Lytch 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 13-39 33.3 39 Jaylen Colon 46% (18 pts) Ben Kopetzki 15% (6 pts) Eren Banks 27% (7 misses) Jaylen Colon 23% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 center 6-25 24.0 18 Jaylen Colon 50% (9 pts) Ben Kopetzki 33% (6 pts) Jaylen Colon 47% (9 misses) Eren Banks 26% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 right 15-43 34.9 45 Ben Kopetzki 33% (15 pts) Jaylen Colon 33% (15 pts) Jaylen Colon 36% (10 misses) Ben Kopetzki 25% (7 misses)