2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 937 (#170) | Preseason prior 878 (roster + recruiting): base (last-season Elo, regressed) 981, returning -33, transfers -63, freshmen -7 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 975 (#175) | HCA +194 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 976 (#175) | HCA +193 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +0.4 (#154) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +0.4 (#154) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.414 (#174) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.479 (#158) | AdjNet +1.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.482 (#158) | AdjNet +2.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.486 (#159) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.487 (#160) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 62.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.491 (#156) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.491 (#156) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 985 (#164) | RD 177 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.433 (#184) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | N | Merrimack Warriors | W | 63 - 49 |
| 2026-11-04 | vs | Christendom Crusaders | W | 108 - 43 |
| 2026-11-09 | @ | Auburn Tigers | L | 53 - 75 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Charlotte 49ers | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | North Texas Mean Green | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Nums/G | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaylen Colon
|
G | 4 | 30.2 | 12.2 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 10.8 | 9.2 | -1 | 3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 37.2 | 37.5 | 100.0 | -0.6 | 55.8 | 54.7 |
Ben Kopetzki
|
G | 4 | 27.2 | 11.5 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 11.5 | 5.8 | 9 | 3 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 34.8 | 40.9 | 100.0 | -0.12 | 47.7 | 44.6 |
Eren Banks
|
G | 4 | 27.5 | 11.2 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 10.2 | 6.0 | 11 | 3 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 41.5 | 20.0 | 70.0 | 0.38 | 49.6 | 46.3 |
Bryan Chretien
|
C | 1 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | - | 83.3 | - | 0.0 | - | 77.6 | 83.3 |
Da'Mori Lytch
|
F | 4 | 16.5 | 6.2 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 8.2 | -12 | 3 | -4.0 | -9.8 | 71.4 | 50.0 | 57.1 | -0.61 | 73.2 | 75.0 |
Jonathan Moss
|
G | 3 | 14.7 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 4.7 | -6 | 2 | -3.0 | -9.7 | 35.7 | 33.3 | 83.3 | -0.5 | 51.1 | 42.9 |
Corbin Allen
|
G | 2 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.5 | -3 | 1 | -3.0 | -62.6 | 62.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 61.9 | 68.8 |
Mason Costello
|
G | 3 | 9.3 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 3.3 | -9 | 2 | -4.5 | -29.7 | 41.7 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.49 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
Ted Neal
|
G | 4 | 16.0 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 5.8 | -5 | 3 | -1.7 | -3.7 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.64 | 60.3 | 57.1 |
Chad Moodie
|
F | 4 | 21.2 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 4 | 3 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 41.7 | - | 60.0 | -1.67 | 48.8 | 41.7 |
Luke Ledford
|
G | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Jackson Love
|
G | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Rrezon Elezaj
|
C | 4 | 10.5 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 9 | 3 | 3.0 | 11.2 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.28 | 75.3 | 75.0 |
Grant Clayton
|
F | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Andrin Njock
|
F | 4 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 4.0 | -1 | 3 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.98 | 63.3 | 80.0 |
Cameron O'Kelley
|
G | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 23.1 | 0.0 |
Hermann Koffi
|
G | 4 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | -3 | 3 | -1.0 | -9.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -1.66 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
KJ Vasser
|
G | 2 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -0.5 | -3 | 1 | -3.0 | -62.6 | 16.7 | 16.7 | - | -0.3 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Nums/G = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA per game, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Appalachian State players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Appalachian State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Huntley | 2020-25 | G League | Valley Suns | 3 Tip-Off Tournament | 27.9 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 11-12 17 pts, 6 reb, 0 ast Tip-Off Tournament | 3 GP, 14.0 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 1.0 APG |
| Christopher Mantis | 2021-24 | G League | Texas Legends | 3 Tip-Off Tournament | 35.5 | 12.7 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 11-13 15 pts, 4 reb, 5 ast Tip-Off Tournament | 3 GP, 12.7 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.7 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Christopher Mantis | G League Tip-Off Tournament | Texas Legends | vs Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 42 | 15 | 4 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | CJ Huntley | G League Tip-Off Tournament | Valley Suns | vs South Bay Lakers | 27 | 17 | 6 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Christopher Mantis | G League Tip-Off Tournament | Texas Legends | @ Mexico City Capitanes | 39 | 21 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | CJ Huntley | G League Tip-Off Tournament | Valley Suns | @ Stockton Kings | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Christopher Mantis | G League Tip-Off Tournament | Texas Legends | @ Mexico City Capitanes | 26 | 2 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | CJ Huntley | G League Tip-Off Tournament | Valley Suns | @ San Diego Clippers | 31 | 11 | 10 | 2 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
240 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Jaylen ColonBen KopetzkiEren BanksDa'Mori LytchJonathan MossChad MoodieAndrin NjockHermann Koffi
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 33-49 | 67.3 | 66 | Da'Mori Lytch 21% (14 pts) | Andrin Njock 12% (8 pts) | Chad Moodie 31% (5 misses) | Ben Kopetzki 12% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 21-41 | 51.2 | 42 | Eren Banks 33% (14 pts) | Ben Kopetzki 19% (8 pts) | Ben Kopetzki 25% (5 misses) | Eren Banks 15% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 5-12 | 41.7 | 10 | Ben Kopetzki 40% (4 pts) | Eren Banks 20% (2 pts) | Ben Kopetzki 57% (4 misses) | Eren Banks 29% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Jonathan Moss 50% (2 pts) | Ted Neal 50% (2 pts) | Ben Kopetzki 75% (3 misses) | Eren Banks 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 5-12 | 41.7 | 10 | Ben Kopetzki 20% (2 pts) | Eren Banks 20% (2 pts) | Ben Kopetzki 43% (3 misses) | Corbin Allen 14% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-6 | 50.0 | 9 | Hermann Koffi 33% (3 pts) | Jackson Love 33% (3 pts) | Andrin Njock 33% (1 misses) | KJ Vasser 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-7 | 28.6 | 6 | Da'Mori Lytch 50% (3 pts) | Jaylen Colon 50% (3 pts) | Ben Kopetzki 40% (2 misses) | Da'Mori Lytch 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 13-39 | 33.3 | 39 | Jaylen Colon 46% (18 pts) | Ben Kopetzki 15% (6 pts) | Eren Banks 27% (7 misses) | Jaylen Colon 23% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 6-25 | 24.0 | 18 | Jaylen Colon 50% (9 pts) | Ben Kopetzki 33% (6 pts) | Jaylen Colon 47% (9 misses) | Eren Banks 26% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 15-43 | 34.9 | 45 | Ben Kopetzki 33% (15 pts) | Jaylen Colon 33% (15 pts) | Jaylen Colon 36% (10 misses) | Ben Kopetzki 25% (7 misses) |
Appalachian State