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2026-02-15

Model Predictions

Model UTSA Roadrunners Charlotte 49ers Spread Result
Elo 8.7% 91.3% -
Bradley-Terry 14.3% 85.7% -
Margin 4.5% 95.5% +16.7 (25.7 off)
Pythagorean 11.8% 88.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% -
Log Adjusted 2.4% 97.6% -
Points Off/Def 17.2% 82.8% -

Actual: Charlotte 49ers -9 (79-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Simpson 39 6-14 0-2 8-9 8 7 0 0 1 20 20 -
B. Njie 38 5-8 0-2 6-7 4 3 1 0 1 16 15 -
B. Moss 36 6-14 2-5 2-2 6 0 2 1 0 16 11 -
M. Coffi 36 3-9 2-4 2-2 4 0 2 0 0 10 7 -
D. Akitoby 17 6-10 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 12 5 -
LJ Brown 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
K. Rayfield 17 4-5 3-4 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 11 10 -

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Bradford 36 7-12 2-5 4-5 12 5 0 0 4 20 21 -
A. Bonke 31 1-3 0-1 3-3 6 3 0 4 4 5 11 -
D. Harrison 24 4-11 3-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 11 3 -
A. Conyers 21 3-7 3-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
M. Freeman 19 5-8 3-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 13 9 -
S. Elliott 18 2-4 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
E. Butler 17 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 6 7 -
D. Mingo 14 3-7 1-5 0-2 0 0 1 0 1 7 0 -
J. Elouna Eyenga 10 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
R. Villar 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
N. Richart 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter