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Cal Poly

Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1146 (#268) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1156 (#278) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +19.8 (#290) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.703 (#18) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.0 More → 0.241 (#92) AdjNet -10.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.2 More → 0.236 (#94) AdjNet -10.2

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2006-11-10 @ SE Louisiana Lions L 69 - 76
2006-11-11 vs Portland Pilots W 56 - 53
2006-11-12 @ Oregon State Beavers L 65 - 78
2006-11-20 vs Stanislaus State Warriors W 91 - 72
2006-11-26 vs Saint Mary's Gaels W 72 - 59
2006-11-29 vs Occidental Tigers W 81 - 62
2006-12-03 @ San José State Spartans L 63 - 80
2006-12-16 @ Utah Utes L 58 - 77
2006-12-19 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 82 - 60
2006-12-23 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 75 - 95
2006-12-28 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans L 91 - 99
2006-12-30 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 67 - 64
2007-01-04 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 62 - 66
2007-01-06 @ Long Beach State Beach L 70 - 77
2007-01-11 vs UC Davis Aggies W 72 - 68
2007-01-16 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 74 - 65
2007-01-20 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 71 - 61
2007-01-25 @ Pacific Tigers L 43 - 66
2007-01-27 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors W 79 - 68
2007-02-03 @ UC Davis Aggies W 88 - 64
2007-02-08 vs Long Beach State Beach L 77 - 80
2007-02-10 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 89 - 80
2007-02-14 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 86 - 79
2007-02-17 vs Portland State Vikings W 92 - 87
2007-02-22 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 70 - 54
2007-02-24 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans W 90 - 80
2007-03-01 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 86 - 70
2007-03-03 vs Pacific Tigers W 82 - 70
2007-03-09 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 81 - 56
2007-03-10 @ Long Beach State Beach L 83 - 94

2007 Roster

No roster data available for this season.