Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✗ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -16 (54-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Whiten | 32 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| T. Clark | 32 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Stockalper | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T. McGinn | 26 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Shelton | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Vance | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Hanson | 18 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C. Thomas | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Henry | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Manley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Higgins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Thomsen | 36 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Bell | 33 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| D. Bates | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Soto | 26 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Cunningham | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Johnson | 23 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| S. Anderson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| C. Jim-George | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Ennis | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Creppy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter