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2007-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Riverside Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 30.6% 69.4% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 32.8% 67.2% +3.9 (19.9 off)
Pythagorean 76.2% 23.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.5% 12.5% -
Log Adjusted 87.6% 12.4% -

Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -16 (54-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Whiten 32 0-4 0-3 1-2 1 5 3 0 1 1 5 -
T. Clark 32 2-7 1-5 4-4 1 5 1 0 3 9 6 -
D. Stockalper 29 3-9 1-3 2-4 9 1 1 0 0 9 11 -
T. McGinn 26 3-7 3-5 1-2 7 0 1 0 0 10 11 -
T. Shelton 19 5-8 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 1 13 9 -
D. Vance 19 5-8 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 2 0 10 12 -
M. Hanson 18 6-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 12 10 -
C. Thomas 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 3 2 0 0 3 7 -
J. Henry 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Leavitt 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Manley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
R. Higgins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Thomsen 36 5-12 2-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 12 5 -
J. Bell 33 5-10 5-10 0-0 0 4 1 0 4 15 6 -
D. Bates 31 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 4 4 -
C. Soto 26 1-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
L. Cunningham 23 4-8 1-2 1-2 2 3 2 0 2 10 7 -
C. Johnson 23 3-9 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 1 -
S. Anderson 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
C. Jim-George 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Ennis 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 4 -
M. Creppy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter