Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | -1.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +9 (89-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Awaji | 36 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| P. Sanders | 29 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| M. Hunter | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Templeton | 24 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Kelley | 23 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| N. Campbell | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Fells | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| C. DeCasas | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. McIntosh | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Stockalper | 35 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| D. Whiten | 33 | 9-13 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 19 | - |
| T. Clark | 30 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| T. McGinn | 25 | 4-14 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Thomas | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| M. Hanson | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Shelton | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Vance | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Henry | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Manley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter