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2007-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 54.7% 45.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 40.6% 59.4% +2.1 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 30.1% 69.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.5% 77.5% -
Log Adjusted 22.6% 77.4% -

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +16 (86-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Haynes 33 4-8 4-6 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 12 9 -
C. Chitwood 33 9-14 0-0 4-4 8 1 2 1 3 22 17 -
J. Heard 29 5-14 1-1 0-1 6 2 4 0 3 11 6 -
T. Shewmake 26 2-6 0-1 1-1 5 1 0 2 2 5 5 -
J. Hill 24 2-6 1-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
J. Miller 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 6 8 -
S. Peters 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 0 -1 -
R. Colston 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 2 -4 -
A. Washington 10 2-4 1-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
J. Noblitt 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Clark 36 3-7 1-4 4-4 1 5 2 0 3 11 9 -
D. Stockalper 31 7-11 4-7 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 18 13 -
D. Whiten 27 4-12 3-8 2-2 1 5 2 1 1 13 9 -
T. McGinn 27 7-11 4-6 1-3 4 1 1 0 0 19 14 -
T. Shelton 25 4-6 0-0 0-1 3 2 2 3 1 8 11 -
C. Thomas 17 0-1 0-1 2-4 2 2 1 0 2 2 4 -
D. Vance 15 2-5 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
M. Hanson 14 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
J. Manley 6 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
C. Leavitt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Henry 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter