Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +16 (86-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Haynes | 33 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 33 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| J. Heard | 29 | 5-14 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Hill | 24 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Miller | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Peters | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Colston | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| A. Washington | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Noblitt | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Clark | 36 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Stockalper | 31 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| D. Whiten | 27 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. McGinn | 27 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| T. Shelton | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Thomas | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Vance | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Hanson | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Manley | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Henry | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter