Cal Poly
2027 Team Stats (2 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 974 (#147) | Preseason prior 978 (returning production + recruiting): last season 938, returning +130, transfers -74, freshmen -16 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 996 (#149) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -0.6 (#164) | HCA +14.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.079 (#225) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.079 (#224) | NetEff -24.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.253 (#238) | AdjNet -9.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.253 (#238) | AdjNet -9.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.482 (#169) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 74.0 |
2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Cal State San Marcos Cougars | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Arizona Wildcats | L | 84 - 104 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Grand Canyon Lopes | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Idaho Vandals | - | Preview |
2027 Roster
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hamad Mousa
|
G | 2 | 27.5 | 24.0 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.5 | 14.5 | - | - | - | - | 60.0 | 68.8 | 70.0 | - | 81.6 | 82.0 |
Jason Scott
|
G | 1 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | - | 75.0 | 83.3 | 0 | - | 106.2 | 106.2 |
Cayden Ward
|
G | 2 | 26.5 | 12.0 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 9.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 22.2 | 57.1 | - | 56.9 | 55.6 |
Jess Esso Essis
|
G | 2 | 22.0 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 45.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 52.5 | 52.5 |
Austin Goode
|
F | 2 | 16.5 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 8.0 | - | - | - | - | 45.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 62.7 | 63.6 |
Guzman Vasilic
|
G | 2 | 26.0 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 28.6 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 43.7 | 39.3 |
Ali Assran
|
F | 2 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 8.0 | - | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 38.0 | 28.6 |
Troy Plumtree
|
F | 2 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 28.6 | - | 56.5 | 75.0 |
Braden Freeman
|
F | 2 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Anthony Moore
|
G | 1 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | - | 7.4 | 0.0 |
Aaron Price Jr.
|
PF | 2 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Canon Wyatt
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jake Davis
|
G | 2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Kieran Elliott
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jackson Mosley
|
PG | 2 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Cal Poly players in NBA 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Cal Poly game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Sanders | 2020-24 | NBA | LA Clippers | 8 | 24.3 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 11-04 4 pts, 2 reb, 1 ast | 8 GP, 10.1 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 2.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | Kobe Sanders | NBA | LA Clippers | vs Miami Heat | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-02 | Kobe Sanders | NBA | LA Clippers | vs Toronto Raptors | 38 | 26 | 4 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-01 | Kobe Sanders | NBA | LA Clippers | @ Golden State Warriors | 30 | 16 | 3 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
127 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Hamad MousaJess Esso EssisCayden WardJason ScottAustin GoodeGuzman VasilicAli AssranAnthony Moore
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 19-30 | 63.3 | 38 | Cayden Ward 21% (8 pts) | Hamad Mousa 16% (6 pts) | Austin Goode 18% (2 misses) | Braden Freeman 18% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 9-21 | 42.9 | 18 | Cayden Ward 33% (6 pts) | Jess Esso Essis 33% (6 pts) | Hamad Mousa 25% (3 misses) | Jess Esso Essis 17% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Hamad Mousa 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range center | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Jess Esso Essis 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Jess Esso Essis 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Left corner 3 | 4-8 | 50.0 | 12 | Jason Scott 50% (6 pts) | Jess Esso Essis 50% (6 pts) | Anthony Moore 50% (2 misses) | Ali Assran 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-5 | 60.0 | 9 | Austin Goode 33% (3 pts) | Hamad Mousa 33% (3 pts) | Ali Assran 50% (1 misses) | Hamad Mousa 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 7-24 | 29.2 | 21 | Hamad Mousa 71% (15 pts) | Guzman Vasilic 14% (3 pts) | Cayden Ward 24% (4 misses) | Guzman Vasilic 18% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 10-19 | 52.6 | 30 | Hamad Mousa 50% (15 pts) | Austin Goode 20% (6 pts) | Guzman Vasilic 22% (2 misses) | Hamad Mousa 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-17 | 23.5 | 12 | Austin Goode 25% (3 pts) | Cayden Ward 25% (3 pts) | Guzman Vasilic 31% (4 misses) | Jess Esso Essis 23% (3 misses) |