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Cal Poly

Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History

2027 Team Stats (2 games)

81.0
PPG
83.0
Opp
-2.0
Margin
44.1%
FG%
38.9%
3P%
52.4%
FT%
44.5
RPG
16.5
APG
22.0
TO
79.7
Est. poss./game
73.3
Adj PPG
74.0
Adj Opp PPG
#169
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 978 (returning production + recruiting): last season 938, returning +130, transfers -74, freshmen -16 More โ†’ 974 (#147) Preseason prior 978 (returning production + recruiting): last season 938, returning +130, transfers -74, freshmen -16
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 996 (#149) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +14.4 More โ†’ -0.6 (#164) HCA +14.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.079 (#225) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -24.5 More โ†’ 0.079 (#224) NetEff -24.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.4 More โ†’ 0.253 (#238) AdjNet -9.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.3 More โ†’ 0.253 (#238) AdjNet -9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 74.0 More โ†’ 0.482 (#169) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 74.0

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Cal State San Marcos Cougars W 78 - 62
2026-11-05 @ Arizona Wildcats L 84 - 104
2026-11-11 @ Grand Canyon Lopes - Preview
2026-11-13 @ Idaho Vandals - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Hamad Mousa Hamad Mousa G 2 27.5 24.0 5.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 5.0 12.5 14.5 - - - - 60.0 68.8 70.0 - 81.6 82.0
Jason Scott Jason Scott G 1 17.0 17.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 11.0 - - - - 75.0 83.3 0 - 106.2 106.2
Cayden Ward Cayden Ward G 2 26.5 12.0 7.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 9.0 12.0 - - - - 50.0 22.2 57.1 - 56.9 55.6
Jess Esso Essis Jess Esso Essis G 2 22.0 10.5 5.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 6.0 - - - - 45.0 33.3 0 - 52.5 52.5
Austin Goode Austin Goode F 2 16.5 8.0 3.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 5.5 8.0 - - - - 45.5 50.0 50.0 - 62.7 63.6
Guzman Vasilic Guzman Vasilic G 2 26.0 6.5 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 7.0 4.0 - - - - 28.6 25.0 100.0 - 43.7 39.3
Ali Assran Ali Assran F 2 14.5 4.0 7.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.5 8.0 - - - - 28.6 0.0 50.0 - 38.0 28.6
Troy Plumtree Troy Plumtree F 2 16.0 4.0 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 2.5 2.0 4.0 - - - - 75.0 0 28.6 - 56.5 75.0
Braden Freeman Braden Freeman F 2 9.5 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Anthony Moore Anthony Moore G 1 12.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 25.0 - 7.4 0.0
Aaron Price Jr. Aaron Price Jr. PF 2 9.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Canon Wyatt Canon Wyatt G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jake Davis Jake Davis G 2 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kieran Elliott Kieran Elliott G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jackson Mosley Jackson Mosley PG 2 12.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Cal Poly players in NBA 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Cal Poly game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Kobe Sanders 2020-24 NBA LA Clippers 8 24.3 10.1 3.0 2.0 11-04 4 pts, 2 reb, 1 ast 8 GP, 10.1 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 2.0 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-04 Kobe Sanders NBA LA Clippers vs Miami Heat 18 4 2 1 Box
2026-11-02 Kobe Sanders NBA LA Clippers vs Toronto Raptors 38 26 4 3 Box
2026-11-01 Kobe Sanders NBA LA Clippers @ Golden State Warriors 30 16 3 0 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

127 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Ward21% Ward33% Scott50% Goode33% Mousa71% Mousa50% Goode25%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Goode18% Mousa25% Mousa100% Essis100% Essis100% Moore50% Assran50% Ward24% Vasilic22% Vasilic31%
Misses: who misses most here

Hamad MousaJess Esso EssisCayden WardJason ScottAustin GoodeGuzman VasilicAli AssranAnthony Moore

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 19-30 63.3 38 Cayden Ward 21% (8 pts) Hamad Mousa 16% (6 pts) Austin Goode 18% (2 misses) Braden Freeman 18% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 9-21 42.9 18 Cayden Ward 33% (6 pts) Jess Esso Essis 33% (6 pts) Hamad Mousa 25% (3 misses) Jess Esso Essis 17% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 0-1 0.0 0 - - Hamad Mousa 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 0-1 0.0 0 - - Jess Esso Essis 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 0-1 0.0 0 - - Jess Esso Essis 100% (1 misses) -
Left corner 3 4-8 50.0 12 Jason Scott 50% (6 pts) Jess Esso Essis 50% (6 pts) Anthony Moore 50% (2 misses) Ali Assran 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 3-5 60.0 9 Austin Goode 33% (3 pts) Hamad Mousa 33% (3 pts) Ali Assran 50% (1 misses) Hamad Mousa 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 7-24 29.2 21 Hamad Mousa 71% (15 pts) Guzman Vasilic 14% (3 pts) Cayden Ward 24% (4 misses) Guzman Vasilic 18% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 10-19 52.6 30 Hamad Mousa 50% (15 pts) Austin Goode 20% (6 pts) Guzman Vasilic 22% (2 misses) Hamad Mousa 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 4-17 23.5 12 Austin Goode 25% (3 pts) Cayden Ward 25% (3 pts) Guzman Vasilic 31% (4 misses) Jess Esso Essis 23% (3 misses)