Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
57.9% (#148) | 42.1% (#267) | Cal Pol... -4.8 | 77-73 |
| Bradley-Terry
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
|
58.9% (#149) | 41.1% (#283) | - | - |
| Margin
Preseason estimate, 2026-27 prior
|
20.2% (#164) | 79.8% (#283) | Idaho Vandals -7.6 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
51.7% (#191) | 48.3% (#233) | - | - |
| Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
52.7% (#178) | 47.3% (#232) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
20.9% (#181) | 79.1% (#232) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
21.1% (#181) | 78.9% (#232) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
32.2% (#164) | 67.8% (#220) | - | - |
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Cal Poly Mustangs | Idaho Vandals |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| PPG | 81.0 | 82.0 |
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 33.3% |
| FT% | 52.4% | 66.7% |
| RPG | 44.5 | 46.0 |
| APG | 16.5 | 14.5 |
| SPG | 6.5 | 4.0 |
| BPG | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| TOPG | 22.0 | 10.5 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Cal Poly Mustangs | Idaho Vandals |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 95.3 | 99.2 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 104.7 | 100.8 |
| Adj. Net Eff | -9.4 | -1.7 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Cal Poly Mustangs Top Players
No player data available
Idaho Vandals Top Players
No player data available