Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
5.5% (#148) | 94.5% (#26) | Grand C... -20.2 | 65-85 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
14.9% (#149) | 85.1% (#22) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
3.4% (#98) | 96.6% (#43) | Grand C... -18.3 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
26.6% (#193) | 73.4% (#51) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
13.3% (#168) | 86.7% (#54) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
13.9% (#167) | 86.1% (#54) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
43.8% (#148) | 56.2% (#32) | - | - |
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Cal Poly Mustangs | Grand Canyon Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 1 |
| PPG | 81.0 | 103.0 |
| FG% | 44.1% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 32.4% |
| FT% | 52.4% | 63.4% |
| RPG | 44.5 | 47.0 |
| APG | 16.5 | 23.0 |
| SPG | 6.5 | 5.0 |
| BPG | 3.0 | 5.0 |
| TOPG | 22.0 | 15.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Cal Poly Mustangs | Grand Canyon Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 96.8 | 102.2 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 103.2 | 97.8 |
| Adj. Net Eff | -6.5 | 4.5 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Cal Poly Mustangs Top Players
No player data available
Grand Canyon Lopes Top Players
No player data available