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Cal Poly Mustangs

Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History

2022 Team Stats (5 games)

61.2
PPG
76.4
Opp
-15.2
Margin
38.6%
FG%
35.1%
3P%
74.3%
FT%
32.2
RPG
12.2
APG
16.0
TO
80.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 767 (#388) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 849 (#373) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +3.9 (#325) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.017 (#389) -

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-23 vs Louisville Cardinals L 32 - 72
2021-12-13 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 73 - 88
2022-02-22 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 71 - 85
2022-03-03 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 66 - 67
2022-03-08 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 64 - 70

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Nielacna J. Nielacna F 5 18.6 12.8 4.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 2.0 10.6 4.8 - - - 49.1 33.3 64.3 0.29 54.1 51.9
M. Vick M. Vick G 5 32.6 10.8 3.0 3.6 1.6 0.0 3.2 10.2 5.6 - - - 41.2 20.0 91.7 0.03 48.0 42.2
M. Willett M. Willett G 5 32.0 10.0 2.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 1.8 8.4 5.0 - - - 40.5 43.5 75.0 0.49 54.9 52.4
H. Scanlan H. Scanlan F 5 19.8 6.8 4.4 0.8 0.0 0.6 1.0 4.6 7.0 - - - 56.5 0 80.0 0.04 62.0 56.5
J. Dickson J. Dickson G 5 14.0 5.4 2.2 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.6 5.0 3.6 -96 -6.4 -36.5 36.0 38.9 100.0 0.37 52.2 50.0
S. Dumitrescu S. Dumitrescu G 5 13.2 4.6 3.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.4 3.8 3.4 - - - 36.8 0 69.2 0.45 46.5 36.8
K. Brown K. Brown F 4 13.5 4.0 4.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.2 3.8 5.2 -46 -2.2 -28.8 46.7 0 40.0 0.27 46.5 46.7
J. Anousinh J. Anousinh G 5 21.0 3.4 1.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 1.2 4.0 2.2 - - - 25.0 20.0 100.0 0.14 37.5 27.5
A. Shah A. Shah G 5 7.8 1.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.4 -0.8 -150 -9.4 -48.4 25.0 27.3 0 0.04 37.5 37.5
S. Bourland S. Bourland G 5 20.0 1.8 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.4 4.0 -0.6 -170 -9.4 -49.7 15.0 40.0 50.0 -0.03 21.6 20.0
Z. Stachowski Z. Stachowski PF 3 6.3 0.7 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.3 -0.3 - - - 14.3 0 0 0.13 14.3 14.3
L. Svetich L. Svetich G 2 13.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.5 -69 -8.6 -63.2 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.03 17.4 0.0
F. Bergstrom F. Bergstrom F 3 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 -0.24 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG