Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +15 (88-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Vick | 39 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| K. Brown | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| M. Willett | 31 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 6 | - |
| S. Bourland | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| H. Scanlan | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Svetich | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Dumitrescu | 14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Nielacna | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Anousinh | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Dickson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Shah | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| F. Bergstrom | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Orndoff | 35 | 10-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| R. Schenck | 30 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | - |
| M. Maio | 23 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| K. Rasheed | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Rodabaugh | 20 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - |
| N. Radford | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| N. Moran | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Mich'l | 11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Nakai | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| F. Jaiteh | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. McDaniel | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Moran | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter