Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.9% | 0.1% | -41.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -40 (32-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 25 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| H. Van Lith | 21 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| O. Cochran | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| E. Engstler | 19 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Hall | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| N. Konno | 18 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| P. Verhulst | 17 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Robinson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Dixon | 12 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| A. Smith | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Russell | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Parker | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Schetnan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bourland | 22 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| K. Brown | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Shah | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. Willett | 21 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| H. Scanlan | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Vick | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -1 | - |
| S. Dumitrescu | 15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Dickson | 15 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Anousinh | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Nielacna | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| L. Svetich | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Z. Stachowski | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| F. Bergstrom | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter