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Cal Poly Mustangs

Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History

2019 Team Stats (4 games)

54.0
PPG
67.2
Opp
-13.2
Margin
33.1%
FG%
30.4%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
40.5
RPG
13.3
APG
15.3
TO
81.7
Pace

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 764 (#470) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 932 (#376) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +14.1 (#281) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.207 (#316) -

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-09 @ Oregon State Beavers L 54 - 79
2019-02-06 vs Long Beach State Beach W 66 - 59
2019-02-27 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 42 - 44
2019-03-06 @ UC Davis Aggies L 54 - 87

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Stahley D. Stahley G 4 38.8 11.8 6.2 3.0 0.8 0.2 2.5 11.8 7.8 - - - 31.9 31.8 83.3 0.38 45.0 39.4
H. Vesela H. Vesela F 3 28.7 11.7 3.3 2.0 0.0 0.7 2.7 13.7 1.3 - - - 36.6 27.3 25.0 0.22 39.3 40.2
D. Stanback D. Stanback F 4 21.0 8.8 3.8 0.5 0.2 0.5 2.0 8.8 3.0 - - - 40.0 66.7 75.0 1.1 47.6 45.7
M. Willett M. Willett G 3 26.0 7.7 2.3 2.7 0.0 0.0 2.3 9.3 1.0 - - - 28.6 38.5 100.0 0.17 39.8 37.5
A. Roufosse A. Roufosse F 4 24.5 7.5 5.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.8 5.8 - - - 45.2 0 50.0 0.57 45.8 45.2
K. Nunnelley K. Nunnelley F 4 29.8 6.0 7.8 3.2 0.5 0.2 2.5 5.5 9.8 - - - 36.4 16.7 87.5 0.4 47.0 38.6
A. Hallberg A. Hallberg G 3 7.3 1.7 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.7 -0.3 - - - 9.1 11.1 100.0 -0.37 21.0 13.6
H. Peterson H. Peterson G 4 16.8 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.5 1.2 - - - 20.0 28.6 0 0.51 30.0 30.0
M. Holt M. Holt G 3 13.7 1.3 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.3 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 0.18 33.3 33.3
K. Brown K. Brown F 4 9.2 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.5 -0.5 - - - 20.0 0 0 3.42 20.0 20.0
G. Silvestri G. Silvestri G 4 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 -0.26 50.0 50.0
J. Smith J. Smith G 3 6.3 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.3 -24 -6.0 -27.9 0.0 0.0 0 2.68 0.0 0.0
M. Lundquist M. Lundquist F 2 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 0.17 0.0 0.0
K. Jacks K. Jacks G 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.71 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG