Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +7 (66-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Davison * | 44 | 9-23 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 6 | - |
| J. King * | 44 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Kinslow * | 35 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Green * | 32 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| N. Hunt * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| K. Hamilton-Fisher | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| J. Hardy | 12 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Green | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Bordonaro | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Stahley * | 45 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 22 | - |
| M. Willett * | 39 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | - |
| H. Vesela * | 39 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 5 | - |
| K. Nunnelley * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Stanback * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Roufosse | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Hallberg | 10 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| H. Peterson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Silvestri | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter