Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.3% | 99.7% | +31.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +25 (79-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Stahley | 39 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Stanback | 26 | 11-21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 9 | - |
| M. Holt | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Nunnelley | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Roufosse | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| H. Peterson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Willett | 14 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Brown | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| A. Hallberg | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Smith | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Silvestri | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Lundquist | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pivec | 34 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| K. McWilliams | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Slocum | 25 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| T. Corosdale | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| K. Tudor | 23 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Grymek | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Goodman | 17 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Thropay | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Washington | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Simmons | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| P. Morris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter