Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +33 (87-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Stahley | 31 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 2 |
| K. Nunnelley | 29 | 2-5 | -2 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | ||
| A. Roufosse | 25 | 5-10 | - | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 5 | |||
| M. Willett | 25 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 4 | ||
| H. Vesela | 21 | 2-10 | 1-3 | - | 2 | 5 | -7 | ||||
| H. Peterson | 18 | -4 | -2 | - | 4 | 0 | |||||
| K. Brown | 13 | -4 | - | - | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
| D. Stanback | 11 | -6 | -1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| J. Smith | 8 | -1 | -1 | - | 3 | 2 | |||||
| M. Holt | 8 | 1-2 | - | - | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| A. Hallberg | 4 | -3 | -2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| K. Jacks | 4 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | |||||
| M. Lundquist | 2 | -1 | - | - | -1 | ||||||
| G. Silvestri | 1 | - | - | - | 0 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Eaton | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | -1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | |
| K. Eaton | 25 | 1-5 | -3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | |
| Player #3143510 | 22 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 |
| C. Hall | 21 | 3-6 | - | 2-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | |
| S. Song | 21 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | |||
| K. Konrad | 17 | 2-3 | - | - | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | ||
| N. Bessolo | 15 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | |
| S. Stobbart | 13 | 1-3 | -1 | -2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |||
| C. McKeown | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | ||
| K. Toole | 10 | 4-4 | - | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | |||
| M. Sanders | 8 | 1-2 | - | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | ||
| E. Gibb | 5 | 1-3 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| K. Hsu | 2 | - | - | - | 0 | ||||||
| B. Nguyen | 1 | - | - | - | 1 | -1 |
* = starter