Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +33 (87-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Stahley | 31 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| K. Nunnelley | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Roufosse | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Willett | 25 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| H. Vesela | 21 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -7 | - |
| H. Peterson | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Brown | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Stanback | 11 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Holt | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Hallberg | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Jacks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Lundquist | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Silvestri | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Eaton | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| K. Eaton | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Bertsch | 22 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| C. Hall | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| S. Song | 21 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| K. Konrad | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| N. Bessolo | 15 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| S. Stobbart | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. McKeown | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Toole | 10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Sanders | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E. Gibb | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Hsu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Nguyen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter