Cal Poly Mustangs
2008 Team Stats (6 games)
67.2
PPG
75.0
Opp
-7.8
Margin
42.2%
FG%
30.4%
3P%
75.9%
FT%
30.5
RPG
16.5
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.3
Adj PPG
67.7
Adj Opp PPG
#229
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2007-2008
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 769 (#282) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 854 (#255) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 972 (#199) | HCA +82 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -5.6 (#226) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -7.7 (#252) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.382 (#208) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.288 (#223) | AdjNet -7.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.289 (#222) | AdjNet -7.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.380 (#229) | AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 67.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.410 (#237) | AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 66.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.336 (#236) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.341 (#238) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 853 (#260) | RD 134 | GP 31 |
2008 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007-11-10 | @ | Oregon State Beavers | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2007-11-13 | @ | San Josรฉ State Spartans | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2007-11-15 | vs | Houston Cougars | W | 53 - 48 |
| 2007-11-20 | @ | UCLA Bruins | L | 83 - 107 |
| 2007-11-23 | vs | Fairfield Stags | L | 50 - 60 |
| 2007-11-29 | vs | San Diego State Aztecs | L | 70 - 80 |
| 2007-12-01 | vs | San Diego Toreros | L | 53 - 62 |
| 2007-12-08 | @ | Loyola Marymount Lions | L | 64 - 80 |
| 2007-12-12 | vs | Santa Clara Broncos | L | 72 - 79 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ | San Francisco Dons | L | 67 - 77 |
| 2007-12-18 | @ | Pittsburgh Panthers | L | 58 - 83 |
| 2008-01-03 | @ | Cal State Northridge Matadors | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2008-01-05 | @ | Long Beach State Beach | W | 76 - 59 |
| 2008-01-10 | vs | Cal State Fullerton Titans | W | 55 - 54 |
| 2008-01-12 | vs | UC Irvine Anteaters | W | 92 - 55 |
| 2008-01-17 | @ | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | L | 59 - 64 |
| 2008-01-19 | vs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | L | 58 - 75 |
| 2008-01-24 | @ | Pacific Tigers | L | 88 - 89 |
| 2008-01-26 | @ | UC Davis Aggies | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2008-02-02 | vs | UC Riverside Highlanders | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2008-02-07 | @ | UC Irvine Anteaters | W | 84 - 65 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ | Cal State Fullerton Titans | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2008-02-16 | @ | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | L | 72 - 74 |
| 2008-02-21 | vs | UC Davis Aggies | L | 47 - 53 |
| 2008-02-23 | vs | Pacific Tigers | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2008-02-27 | @ | UC Riverside Highlanders | W | 54 - 52 |
| 2008-03-06 | vs | Long Beach State Beach | L | 62 - 78 |
| 2008-03-08 | vs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | W | 71 - 55 |
| 2008-03-12 | vs | UC Irvine Anteaters | W | 76 - 61 |
| 2008-03-13 | @ | Pacific Tigers | W | 79 - 76 |
| 2008-03-14 | @ | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | L | 57 - 77 |
2008 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Harrison
|
F | 6 | 0.0 | 11.5 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.2 | 7.8 | - | - | - | - | 41.8 | 20.0 | 75.0 | - | 51.2 | 43.6 |
S. Anderson
|
G | 5 | 0.0 | 10.8 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.4 | 10.2 | - | - | - | - | 38.3 | 35.7 | 81.2 | - | 50.0 | 43.6 |
R. Tratter
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 56.3 | 50.0 |
A. Stewart
|
G | 6 | 0.0 | 7.2 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 6.7 | - | - | - | - | 48.4 | 45.0 | 100.0 | - | 65.6 | 62.9 |
L. McBride
|
G | 5 | 0.0 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.6 | 7.2 | - | - | - | - | 42.4 | 18.2 | 100.0 | - | 48.9 | 45.5 |
K. Santiago
|
C | 3 | 0.0 | 6.7 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 10.0 | - | - | - | - | 43.8 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 50.1 | 43.8 |
T. Wells
|
G | 3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 18.5 | 16.7 |
K. Howell
|
PG | 1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG