Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrison | 0 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Santiago | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| L. McBride | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| S. Anderson | 0 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| A. Stewart | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Troyer | 28 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Brown | 27 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| S. Johnson | 23 | 2-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Morgan | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| M. Nunnally | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Kirby | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Neimeyer | 16 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. LeDuc | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Doran | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Ford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Price | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| A. VanHollebeke | 0 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| E. Head | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| J. Young | 0 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| K. Lavender | 0 | 6-16 | 5-13 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
* = starter