Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -1 (61-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrison | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Howell | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. McBride | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Stewart | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Anderson | 0 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Donaghe | 0 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| P. Mintun | 0 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J. Campbell | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| H. Bates | 0 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| K. Commins | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter