Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +20 (77-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrison | 0 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| K. Santiago | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| L. McBride | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| S. Anderson | 0 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Stewart | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Elliott | 32 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Joyner | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Harris | 31 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 9-14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| C. Devine | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| N. Pajevic | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Powell | 23 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| D.J. Posley | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| P. Roemer | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Quick | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Gibbons | 0 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| L. Pedersen | 0 | 3-13 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Suderman | 0 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| W. Warren | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Wilson | 0 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
* = starter