Cal Poly
Model Outputs
2006-2007
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1053 (#134) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1038 (#137) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1093 (#51) | HCA +118 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.8 (#164) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.1 (#147) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.592 (#123) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.444 (#169) | AdjNet -2.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.442 (#168) | AdjNet -2.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.486 (#165) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 69.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.563 (#104) | AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 68.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.543 (#141) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.558 (#136) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1068 (#121) | RD 127 | GP 28 |
2007 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006-11-10 | @ | SE Louisiana Lions | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2006-11-11 | vs | Portland Pilots | W | 56 - 53 |
| 2006-11-12 | @ | Oregon State Beavers | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2006-11-20 | vs | Stanislaus State Warriors | W | 91 - 72 |
| 2006-11-26 | vs | Saint Mary's Gaels | W | 72 - 59 |
| 2006-11-29 | vs | Occidental Tigers | W | 81 - 62 |
| 2006-12-03 | @ | San José State Spartans | L | 63 - 80 |
| 2006-12-16 | @ | Utah Utes | L | 58 - 77 |
| 2006-12-19 | vs | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | W | 82 - 60 |
| 2006-12-23 | @ | Fresno State Bulldogs | L | 75 - 95 |
| 2006-12-28 | vs | Cal State Fullerton Titans | L | 91 - 99 |
| 2006-12-30 | vs | UC Riverside Highlanders | W | 67 - 64 |
| 2007-01-04 | @ | UC Irvine Anteaters | L | 62 - 66 |
| 2007-01-06 | @ | Long Beach State Beach | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2007-01-11 | vs | UC Davis Aggies | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2007-01-16 | vs | Sacramento State Hornets | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2007-01-20 | @ | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | W | 71 - 61 |
| 2007-01-25 | @ | Pacific Tigers | L | 43 - 66 |
| 2007-01-27 | @ | Cal State Northridge Matadors | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2007-02-03 | @ | UC Davis Aggies | W | 88 - 64 |
| 2007-02-08 | vs | Long Beach State Beach | L | 77 - 80 |
| 2007-02-10 | vs | UC Irvine Anteaters | W | 89 - 80 |
| 2007-02-14 | vs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | W | 86 - 79 |
| 2007-02-17 | vs | Portland State Vikings | W | 92 - 87 |
| 2007-02-22 | @ | UC Riverside Highlanders | W | 70 - 54 |
| 2007-02-24 | @ | Cal State Fullerton Titans | W | 90 - 80 |
| 2007-03-01 | vs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | W | 86 - 70 |
| 2007-03-03 | vs | Pacific Tigers | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2007-03-09 | vs | Cal State Fullerton Titans | W | 81 - 56 |
| 2007-03-10 | @ | Long Beach State Beach | L | 83 - 94 |
2007 Roster
No roster data available for this season.