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Butler Bulldogs

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Butler
Program History

2026 Team Stats (28 games)

61.9
PPG
65.3
Opp
-3.4
Margin
42.7%
FG%
31.8%
3P%
74.2%
FT%
32.4
RPG
14.4
APG
18.1
TO
77.2
Pace
65.6
AdjO
60.9
AdjD
#114
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1003 (#186) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 955 (#207) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 946 (#478) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +4.9 (#113) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +14.4 (#144) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.376 (#218) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.5 More → 0.362 (#216) NetEff -4.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.5 More → 0.679 (#121) AdjNet +6.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.7 More → 0.686 (#121) AdjNet +6.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 60.9 More → 0.606 (#114) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 60.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 62.0 More → 0.464 (#303) AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 62.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.751 (#167) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.694 (#181) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 28 More → 958 (#238) RD 150 | GP 28

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Columbia Lions L 69 - 74
2025-11-12 vs Central Michigan Chippewas L 59 - 68
2025-11-16 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 73 - 56
2025-11-19 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 53 - 72
2025-11-28 @ Dayton Flyers W 92 - 66
2025-12-04 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 51 - 70
2025-12-07 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 55 - 80
2025-12-11 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 101 - 56
2025-12-14 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 74 - 52
2025-12-19 vs Xavier Musketeers W 64 - 58
2025-12-28 vs UConn Huskies L 47 - 94
2026-01-04 @ Creighton Bluejays L 59 - 67
2026-01-07 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 46 - 63
2026-01-10 @ St. John's Red Storm L 39 - 49
2026-01-14 vs Providence Friars W 62 - 52
2026-01-18 @ Villanova Wildcats L 65 - 73
2026-01-21 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 73 - 67
2026-01-25 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 60 - 64
2026-02-01 @ Xavier Musketeers L 59 - 63
2026-02-04 vs Villanova Wildcats L 57 - 67
2026-02-07 @ UConn Huskies L 48 - 80
2026-02-11 @ Providence Friars L 64 - 73
2026-02-14 vs St. John's Red Storm L 47 - 58
2026-02-18 vs Creighton Bluejays L 58 - 67
2026-02-21 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 66 - 58
2026-02-25 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 71 - 64
2026-03-01 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 62 - 55
2026-03-06 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 58 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Miller M. Miller F 28 25.4 9.7 4.4 2.8 0.4 1.2 3.4 9.3 5.9 45 2.0 2.3 39.5 30.0 75.9 1.31 47.6 44.1
S. Jackson S. Jackson G 28 30.6 9.3 5.8 1.7 1.6 0.2 1.8 7.0 9.9 -26 -1.4 -9.2 50.8 35.0 70.7 -0.88 59.0 56.2
C. Dotsey C. Dotsey F 28 22.8 7.6 4.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.4 6.4 5.2 1 0.0 0.1 47.2 26.8 82.1 -0.19 55.1 52.5
L. Zeinstra L. Zeinstra G 28 28.5 7.3 2.8 2.6 0.6 0.3 2.2 6.1 5.2 -2 -0.1 -0.1 45.6 37.7 66.7 -1.21 55.6 54.1
M. Johnson M. Johnson G 23 15.7 6.6 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.5 6.8 1.1 19 0.8 1.7 32.5 26.0 81.1 -3.27 43.6 38.5
A. Wypych A. Wypych G 26 17.0 6.6 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.6 5.2 3.8 77 3.7 8.3 43.0 36.5 87.0 2.66 58.9 55.9
N. Jackson N. Jackson G 20 22.4 6.2 3.0 1.2 1.4 0.1 1.6 4.8 5.5 67 4.5 7.6 41.2 28.6 75.0 2.5 53.7 47.4
A. Baxter A. Baxter G 20 19.0 5.8 2.6 2.3 0.9 0.1 2.8 4.4 4.6 101 4.6 11.2 44.3 25.0 76.2 1.8 54.0 47.2
K. Langham K. Langham G 28 21.4 5.7 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.1 2.2 4.9 2.9 -45 -2.0 -3.0 41.6 35.0 69.6 -0.62 49.5 44.2
G. Wilke G. Wilke F 24 8.8 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.7 1.7 26 1.2 6.2 43.9 35.3 83.3 -0.92 56.2 51.2
L. Stoddard L. Stoddard F 23 7.7 0.4 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 2.0 14 0.7 3.0 21.1 0 25.0 1.1 22.2 21.1
Mckenzie Swanson Mckenzie Swanson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG