Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.6% | 12.4% | -10.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Weiss | 41 | 10-22 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 10 | -15.5 |
| P. Page | 39 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 22 | -1.8 |
| M. Avlijas | 34 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -12.5 |
| F. Henderson | 29 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | +4.1 |
| S. Rafiu | 27 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | -3.4 |
| M. Broom | 24 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +2.9 |
| M. Jaama | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -6.7 |
| H. Feldrappe | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.7 |
| N. Simmons | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
| E. Erinugha | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
| S. Shippen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Zeinstra | 36 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | +9.4 |
| M. Miller | 34 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -3 | +6.8 |
| N. Jackson | 32 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | +8.1 |
| K. Langham | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 3 | +10.0 |
| S. Jackson | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +7.4 |
| C. Dotsey | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +9.7 |
| A. Wypych | 19 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +2.7 |
| A. Baxter | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +0.5 |
| L. Stoddard | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +3.1 |
* = starter