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2025-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% - βœ“
Margin 16.9% 83.1% +8.8 βœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 30.4% 69.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 18.1% 81.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 30.6% 69.4% - βœ“

Actual: Butler Bulldogs +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kanerva 40 3-13 0-6 0-0 2 8 3 0 2 6 4 +0.1
S. White 37 1-4 0-1 1-2 7 0 2 3 2 3 9 +8.4
M. Noel 33 6-16 0-3 1-3 8 0 1 0 5 13 1 -4.2
P. Oborilova 27 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 2 2 2 3 8 6 -7.4
M. Givens 25 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 2 -0.7
V. Nejaőmić 25 10-17 2-4 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 24 12 -2.1
A. Young 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.8

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Dotsey 36 9-15 3-7 4-6 8 2 1 0 2 25 19 +13.3
S. Jackson 35 1-4 1-3 4-4 6 2 2 0 1 7 12 -0.2
L. Zeinstra 31 4-9 1-3 1-2 3 3 0 0 4 10 3 +8.8
M. Miller 30 3-4 1-2 4-6 6 2 2 1 5 11 13 +12.5
K. Langham 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 2 -3 -8.9
A. Baxter 20 1-3 0-1 2-4 5 3 0 1 3 4 7 +10.7
A. Wypych 14 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -8.4
G. Wilke 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 3 -10.3
N. Jackson 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -2.1

* = starter