Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.5% | 37.5% | -2.8 | ✓ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -26 (66-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Zeinstra | 29 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 19 | -23.6 |
| C. Dotsey | 26 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -12.6 |
| S. Jackson | 25 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -9.6 |
| A. Baxter | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -30.7 |
| K. Langham | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.4 |
| N. Jackson | 20 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -11.8 |
| M. Miller | 19 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | -1.7 |
| L. Stoddard | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -22.3 |
| A. Wypych | 11 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -7.6 |
| M. Johnson | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| G. Wilke | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.7 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Stephens | 33 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | +36.2 |
| A. Madol | 31 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +13.2 |
| N. Lear | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +17.0 |
| F. Ibrahim | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 4 | +20.5 |
| J. Johnson | 24 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +4.1 |
| O. Leung | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | +5.6 |
| S. Dawkins | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +23.0 |
| M. O'Riordan | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +17.2 |
| M. Johnson | 7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| E. Monyek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| K. Grant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
* = starter