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Baylor

Also known as: Baylor Bears, Baylor
Program History

2014 Team Stats (25 games)

74.0
PPG
68.9
Opp
+5.1
Margin
44.9%
FG%
38.0%
3P%
67.2%
FT%
37.4
RPG
14.6
APG
11.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.5
Adj PPG
60.9
Adj Opp PPG
#24
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1292 (#16) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1261 (#28) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1131 (#27) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +14.8 (#22) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +15.7 (#13) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.717 (#52) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.3 More โ†’ 0.921 (#26) AdjNet +21.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.5 More โ†’ 0.923 (#26) AdjNet +21.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 60.9 More โ†’ 0.776 (#24) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 60.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 62.2 More โ†’ 0.717 (#16) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 62.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.842 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.834 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 91 | GP 36 More โ†’ 1298 (#19) RD 91 | GP 36

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 72 - 60
2013-11-12 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 66 - 64
2013-11-17 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 87 - 68
2013-11-20 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 69 - 64
2013-11-25 @ Chaminade Silverswords W 93 - 77
2013-11-26 @ Dayton Flyers W 67 - 66
2013-11-27 vs Syracuse Orange L 67 - 74
2013-12-01 vs Hardin Simmons Cowboys W 104 - 59
2013-12-06 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 67 - 62
2013-12-18 vs Northwestern State Demons W 91 - 84
2013-12-22 vs Southern Jaguars W 81 - 56
2013-12-30 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 81 - 55
2014-01-03 vs Savannah State Tigers W 80 - 50
2014-01-07 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 72 - 87
2014-01-11 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 88 - 62
2014-01-15 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 72 - 82
2014-01-18 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 64 - 66
2014-01-20 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 68 - 78
2014-01-25 vs Texas Longhorns L 60 - 74
2014-01-28 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 64 - 66
2014-02-01 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 76 - 70
2014-02-04 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 52 - 69
2014-02-08 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 72 - 88
2014-02-12 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 91 - 58
2014-02-15 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 87 - 73
2014-02-17 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 70 - 64
2014-02-22 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 88 - 75
2014-02-26 @ Texas Longhorns L 69 - 74
2014-03-01 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 59 - 49
2014-03-04 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 74 - 61
2014-03-08 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 76 - 74
2014-03-12 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 76 - 68
2014-03-13 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 78 - 73
2014-03-14 @ Texas Longhorns W 86 - 69
2014-03-15 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 65 - 74
2014-03-21 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 74 - 60
2014-03-23 @ Creighton Bluejays W 85 - 55
2014-03-27 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 52 - 69

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cory Jefferson Cory Jefferson F 36 28.8 13.6 8.2 1.0 0.4 1.4 1.2 7.0 16.2 110 33 3.3 5.1 51.0 40.0 65.4 1.95 78.6 53.0
Brady Heslip Brady Heslip G 36 27.1 11.8 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.4 5.2 8.7 138 33 4.2 6.8 42.9 45.0 81.6 3.66 100.7 61.9
Isaiah Austin Isaiah Austin C 36 27.7 11.4 5.4 1.4 0.4 3.0 1.8 7.0 12.8 68 33 2.1 3.3 44.2 26.9 66.3 0.13 69.5 47.0
Kenny Chery Kenny Chery G 35 28.5 11.4 2.5 4.5 0.9 0.1 1.9 6.3 11.0 92 32 2.9 4.4 40.7 37.8 87.7 1.1 79.7 47.7
Royce O'Neale Royce O'Neale F 36 26.8 6.9 5.1 3.0 0.9 0.2 1.7 3.4 11.0 137 33 4.2 6.8 49.2 45.9 57.1 2.66 82.8 56.1
Rico Gathers Rico Gathers F 36 17.9 6.6 6.4 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.8 3.6 9.9 45 32 1.4 3.4 48.5 0 53.8 0.27 67.7 48.5
Taurean Prince Taurean Prince F 36 14.5 6.1 2.8 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.3 3.4 5.4 27 33 0.8 2.6 47.2 31.2 71.6 0.58 71.8 51.2
Gary Franklin Gary Franklin G 36 21.9 5.5 1.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 1.4 3.5 5.1 23 33 0.7 1.4 34.9 31.8 79.2 -1.77 72.9 45.6
Ishmail Wainright Ishmail Wainright G 30 9.5 2.0 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.8 1.1 3.1 29 26 1.1 5.6 51.5 25.0 61.1 0.83 73.3 53.0
Logan Lowery Logan Lowery F 12 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 10 11 0.9 24.9 66.7 100.0 50.0 0.61 87.2 75.0
John Heard John Heard F 10 1.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 -0.3 -3 9 -0.3 -13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.19 0.0 0.0
Josh Clemons Josh Clemons - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG