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2014-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 35.8% 64.2% -
Bradley-Terry 72.4% 27.6% -
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.2% 82.8% -
Log Adjusted 17.0% 83.0% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +17 (69-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Lowery 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Heard 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Heslip * 34 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 -2 -
K. Chery * 33 2-8 1-2 7-8 8 1 0 0 1 12 12 -
I. Austin * 31 5-12 0-2 2-2 5 1 0 2 0 12 8 -
C. Jefferson * 31 6-13 0-3 3-4 7 1 0 0 1 15 9 -
R. O'Neale * 29 1-6 0-1 1-2 5 4 1 1 2 3 6 -
G. Franklin 18 2-8 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 -1 -
R. Gathers 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Prince 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
I. Wainright 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Kaminsky * 34 8-11 0-0 3-4 4 3 0 6 0 19 21 -
B. Brust * 34 5-7 3-5 1-2 6 2 0 0 1 14 14 -
J. Gasser * 34 0-5 0-2 4-4 8 3 1 0 2 4 9 -
T. Jackson * 23 2-4 1-2 2-2 7 5 0 0 2 7 13 -
S. Dekker * 22 3-8 1-4 0-3 2 1 0 0 2 7 0 -
N. Hayes-Davis 18 5-9 0-0 0-2 6 2 0 0 1 10 8 -
B. Koenig 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
D. Dukan 15 2-3 0-0 1-3 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
V. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Bohannon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Hill 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter