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2014-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 45.6% 54.4% -
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% -
Margin 46.2% 53.8% +0.8 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.1% 42.9% -
Efficiency 59.7% 40.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% -
Log Adjusted 61.4% 38.6% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns -17 (69-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jefferson * 32 6-13 1-2 7-9 13 2 0 3 0 20 25 -
B. Heslip * 32 6-11 6-11 6-6 4 0 0 0 1 24 16 -
K. Chery * 30 3-7 3-5 1-2 0 3 0 0 4 10 2 -
R. O'Neale * 29 1-4 1-1 5-6 10 2 2 0 0 8 18 -
I. Austin * 29 5-13 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 7 0 10 11 -
G. Franklin 18 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 5 4 -
R. Gathers 17 2-4 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 0 0 6 9 -
T. Prince 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
L. Lowery 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Wainright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Taylor * 29 8-18 0-0 0-0 4 7 0 0 1 16 8 -
J. Holmes * 26 3-12 0-2 0-1 6 3 0 0 0 6 3 -
C. Ridley * 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
J. Felix * 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 3 -
D. Holland * 18 1-3 0-0 0-2 5 2 0 0 2 2 4 -
M. Walker 23 4-13 2-7 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 10 2 -
C. Lammert 19 4-8 0-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 0 9 8 -
K. Yancy 19 4-11 3-3 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 12 5 -
P. Ibeh 18 3-5 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 3 0 6 11 -
D. Croaker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter