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Boston Celtics

Also known as: Boston Celtics
Program History

2004 Team Stats (80 games)

95.5
PPG
96.6
Opp
-1.2
Margin
44.5%
FG%
34.8%
3P%
74.8%
FT%
40.1
RPG
20.6
APG
15.8
TO
94.8
Est. poss./game
93.3
Adj PPG
95.7
Adj Opp PPG
#20
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 838 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 931 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 942 (#23) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ -2.4 (#20) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.3 More โ†’ -3.7 (#24) HCA +4.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.435 (#20) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.3 More โ†’ 0.435 (#20) NetEff -2.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.4 More โ†’ 0.432 (#19) AdjNet -2.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.4 More โ†’ 0.432 (#19) AdjNet -2.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 93.3 | AdjD 95.7 More โ†’ 0.446 (#20) AdjO 93.3 | AdjD 95.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 93.6 | AdjD 96.9 More โ†’ 0.427 (#24) AdjO 93.6 | AdjD 96.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.393 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.389 (#23) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 213 | GP 86 More โ†’ 922 (#24) RD 213 | GP 86

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-10-29 vs Miami Heat W 98 - 75
2003-10-31 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 93 - 91
2003-11-01 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 90 - 97
2003-11-05 @ Detroit Pistons L 88 - 96
2003-11-07 vs Brooklyn Nets L 87 - 94
2003-11-09 vs Sacramento Kings W 91 - 82
2003-11-11 @ Indiana Pacers W 78 - 76
2003-11-12 vs Chicago Bulls L 82 - 89
2003-11-14 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 91 - 82
2003-11-17 @ New York Knicks L 86 - 89
2003-11-19 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 73 - 81
2003-11-21 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 85 - 87
2003-11-24 vs New York Knicks - Incomplete score
2003-11-26 @ Orlando Magic W 94 - 92
2003-11-28 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 106 - 96
2003-11-29 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 94 - 100
2003-12-01 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 89 - 96
2003-12-03 @ Toronto Raptors L 95 - 105
2003-12-05 vs Phoenix Suns L 106 - 110
2003-12-07 @ Denver Nuggets W 116 - 111
2003-12-08 @ Utah Jazz W 102 - 80
2003-12-10 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 126 - 112
2003-12-12 vs Toronto Raptors W 114 - 111
2003-12-13 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 105 - 98
2003-12-15 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 95 - 116
2003-12-17 vs Dallas Mavericks W 105 - 103
2003-12-19 vs Utah Jazz L 96 - 99
2003-12-21 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 87 - 84
2003-12-23 @ Atlanta Hawks L 88 - 93
2003-12-26 @ Phoenix Suns W 104 - 102
2003-12-28 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 82 - 105
2003-12-29 @ Golden State Warriors W 100 - 91
2003-12-31 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 94 - 96
2004-01-02 vs Indiana Pacers L 90 - 103
2004-01-03 @ Chicago Bulls W 88 - 77
2004-01-05 vs Detroit Pistons L 68 - 78
2004-01-07 vs Orlando Magic W 101 - 93
2004-01-09 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 107 - 82
2004-01-11 @ Houston Rockets W 97 - 93
2004-01-13 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 103 - 111
2004-01-14 vs Houston Rockets L 80 - 95
2004-01-16 @ Orlando Magic L 118 - 124
2004-01-18 vs San Antonio Spurs L 92 - 109
2004-01-20 @ Miami Heat W 86 - 84
2004-01-23 vs Washington Wizards W 100 - 89
2004-01-25 @ Brooklyn Nets L 91 - 110
2004-01-28 vs Detroit Pistons L 103 - 106
2004-01-30 vs New York Knicks L 74 - 92
2004-01-31 @ Indiana Pacers L 98 - 99
2004-02-04 vs LA Clippers L 86 - 95
2004-02-06 vs Atlanta Hawks L 96 - 100
2004-02-07 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 110 - 80
2004-02-09 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 89 - 97
2004-02-12 @ Chicago Bulls L 87 - 107
2004-02-17 @ Sacramento Kings L 111 - 127
2004-02-19 @ LA Clippers L 100 - 102
2004-02-21 @ Portland Trail Blazers - Incomplete score
2004-02-22 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 87 - 108
2004-02-25 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 104 - 106
2004-02-27 vs Toronto Raptors W 88 - 75
2004-02-29 @ Toronto Raptors W 91 - 82
2004-03-01 vs Orlando Magic W 117 - 96
2004-03-05 vs Washington Wizards W 94 - 90
2004-03-07 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 80 - 77
2004-03-09 @ New York Knicks W 87 - 84
2004-03-10 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 109 - 117
2004-03-12 vs Indiana Pacers L 81 - 99
2004-03-13 @ Washington Wizards W 111 - 102
2004-03-17 vs Denver Nuggets W 104 - 100
2004-03-19 @ Dallas Mavericks L 104 - 120
2004-03-20 @ San Antonio Spurs L 87 - 103
2004-03-26 vs Brooklyn Nets W 102 - 93
2004-03-28 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 89 - 65
2004-03-29 @ Brooklyn Nets W 84 - 80
2004-03-31 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 98 - 105
2004-04-02 vs Golden State Warriors W 111 - 106
2004-04-04 @ Washington Wizards L 102 - 112
2004-04-07 @ Miami Heat L 101 - 104
2004-04-09 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 80 - 89
2004-04-10 @ Atlanta Hawks L 99 - 110
2004-04-12 vs Miami Heat L 77 - 84
2004-04-14 vs Atlanta Hawks W 137 - 132
2004-04-17 @ Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2004-04-20 @ Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2004-04-23 vs Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2004-04-25 vs Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score

2004 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Paul Pierce Paul Pierce G 78 38.9 23.2 6.5 5.2 1.7 0.6 3.8 18.8 14.6 - - - - 40.5 30.3 81.6 - 51.9 44.4
Ricky Davis G 56 29.5 14.1 4.2 2.6 1.3 0.2 2.1 11.2 9.1 - - - - 49.0 38.9 72.7 - 55.5 51.8
Chucky Atkins G 24 33.0 12.0 1.9 5.3 1.1 0.0 1.8 10.4 8.2 - - - - 41.8 35.1 77.8 - 53.0 49.6
Eric Williams G 20 24.1 11.6 4.7 1.2 1.1 0.1 1.6 8.4 8.7 - - - - 43.5 28.6 71.6 - 53.7 45.8
Vin Baker G 36 26.8 11.2 5.5 1.5 0.6 0.5 1.4 8.9 8.9 - - - - 50.6 0.0 76.0 - 54.9 50.6
Mike James G 54 30.6 10.6 3.1 4.4 1.3 0.0 1.5 9.3 8.7 - - - - 41.7 38.3 79.1 - 53.1 50.2
Mark Blount G 80 29.5 10.4 7.3 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.8 7.4 11.7 - - - - 57.4 0 71.6 - 60.7 57.4
Jiri Welsch G 79 27.0 9.3 3.6 2.3 1.3 0.1 1.6 7.6 7.4 - - - - 43.1 38.3 73.9 - 53.4 48.8
Walter McCarty G 75 24.8 7.8 3.1 1.6 0.9 0.3 1.1 6.8 5.9 - - - - 38.7 37.7 75.3 - 54.1 51.9
Raef LaFrentz G 17 19.4 7.8 4.6 1.4 0.5 0.8 0.6 7.3 7.1 - - - - 46.0 20.0 76.9 - 50.9 49.2
Dana Barros G 1 11.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 - - - - 66.7 0 100.0 - 77.3 66.7
Tony Battie G 22 21.8 6.0 5.3 0.9 0.4 0.8 1.1 5.1 7.2 - - - - 48.2 100.0 69.7 - 52.2 48.7
Chris Mihm G 53 17.0 5.9 5.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 4.5 6.7 - - - - 50.2 0 63.5 - 54.0 50.2
Marcus Banks G 79 16.8 5.9 1.7 2.1 1.1 0.2 1.5 5.4 4.0 - - - - 40.4 32.9 76.4 - 48.7 43.6
Kedrick Brown G 20 19.6 5.4 3.3 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.6 4.8 5.3 - - - - 45.4 37.5 61.5 - 52.6 51.5
Brandon Hunter G 35 11.3 3.3 3.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.5 - - - - 45.0 0.0 38.5 - 44.9 45.0
Kendrick Perkins Kendrick Perkins - 10 3.5 2.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.1 - - - - 53.3 0 66.7 - 58.0 53.3
Jumaine Jones G 41 8.7 2.0 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 2.2 1.9 - - - - 33.0 27.9 57.1 - 41.9 39.6
Michael Stewart G 16 4.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 - - - - 40.0 0 0 - 40.0 40.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG