Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (104-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 45 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 10-12 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 44 | 6-14 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 33 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Chris Mihm * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 23 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Hunter * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Banks | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jumaine Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 14-14 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 28 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 7-10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Samaki Walker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter