Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +23 (98-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 6-16 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 2-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| John Wallace * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Bimbo Coles * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jerome Beasley | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 35 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Mike James * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 24 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Kedrick Brown * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 20 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jiri Welsch | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter