Army Black
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1024 (#335) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1178 (#256) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.9 (#342) | HCA +3.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.395 (#77) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.152 (#100) | AdjNet -14.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.150 (#100) | AdjNet -15.1 |
2012 Schedule & Results
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E. Ellis
|
F | 28 | 29.9 | 17.8 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 4.7 | 18.9 | - | - | - | 40.2 | 40.7 | 82.7 | 0.53 | 160.8 | 48.5 |
J. Simmons
|
G | 28 | 25.1 | 11.4 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 10.8 | 29 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 41.5 | 45.0 | 74.1 | 0.68 | 135.7 | 54.2 |
J. Herbeck
|
G | 28 | 28.9 | 10.0 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 10.1 | - | - | - | 44.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | - | 150.4 | 60.4 |
M. Lenox
|
G | 28 | 23.7 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 10.1 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 28.6 | 52.2 | - | 179.6 | 62.5 |
M. Washington
|
G | 17 | 13.9 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 56.0 | 50.0 | 76.2 | - | 131.4 | 58.0 |
M. Williams
|
G | 28 | 21.8 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 5.6 | 11 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 52.3 | 53.3 | 76.0 | 0.78 | 129.1 | 61.4 |
J. Springer
|
F-C | 28 | 17.1 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8.4 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 166.1 | 50.0 |
J. Pancoe
|
G | 15 | 15.6 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 47.1 | 36.4 | 100.0 | - | 174.7 | 58.8 |
A. Stire
|
C | 27 | 14.6 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 69.6 | 0 | 54.5 | - | 183.2 | 69.6 |
C. Kincade
|
F | 4 | 10.5 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 128.9 | 33.3 |
M. Walker
|
- | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 21 | 2.3 | 10.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
J. Harris
|
- | 13 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.1 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 80.0 | 0.89 | 134.1 | 75.0 |
J. Johnson
|
F | 18 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 53.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.19 | 69.1 | 53.8 |
B. Hornstein
|
C | 10 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 166.7 | 66.7 |
W. Thornton
|
- | 26 | 10.8 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 28.6 | - | 119.0 | 42.9 |
C. Gramling
|
- | 13 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | - | 73.5 | 50.0 |
S. Billerman
|
G | 5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
P. Harris
|
- | 7 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 25.8 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG