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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Army Black Knights Navy Midshipmen Spread Result
Elo 26.2% 73.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 30.3% 69.7% +4.6 (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 91.2% 8.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.6% 44.4% -
Log Adjusted 55.1% 44.9% -

Actual: Navy Midshipmen -13 (62-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ellis * 34 5-11 3-5 6-6 9 2 0 0 3 19 16 -
J. Simmons * 30 5-14 3-9 5-7 4 0 1 0 1 18 8 -
J. Herbeck * 24 5-7 5-7 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 15 12 -
M. Washington * 16 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 9 0 0 4 3 9 -
J. Springer * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Lenox 25 1-3 0-0 2-3 2 5 1 0 3 4 6 -
M. Williams 24 1-1 1-1 4-4 1 0 1 0 0 7 8 -
A. Stire 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Pancoe 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
J. Johnson 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
W. Thornton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Billerman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.J. Avila * 40 8-14 2-5 3-5 14 1 6 0 3 21 25 -
J. Sugars * 32 4-10 1-5 8-12 4 0 0 0 1 17 10 -
J. Brickman * 30 2-4 2-4 2-4 2 6 0 0 3 8 9 -
J. Loupos * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Connolly * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
I. Roberts 21 4-8 0-0 3-5 0 2 1 0 2 11 4 -
W. Smith 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Venturini 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Jackson 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
B. Wyatt 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
C. Montgomery 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Smoot 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Alter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter