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Dartmouth Big Green 64
@
Army Black Knights 67
2011-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Army Black Knights Spread Result
Elo 69.1% 30.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% - ✓
Margin 40.8% 59.2% +2.1 ✓ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 23.4% 76.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 25.3% 74.7% - ✓

Actual: Army Black Knights +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R.J. Griffin * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 15 15 -
J. Brooks * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 13 21 -
G. Maldunas * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 2 0 4 0 8 -
J. Trotter * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 11 -
D. Rufful * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 7 -
M. McKearney 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 10 15 -
J. Golden 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 10 11 -
M. LaBove 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 2 8 -
T. Melville 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 1 2 -
K. Crecco 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Herbeck * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 3 6 -
J. Pancoe * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 20 28 -
E. Ellis * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 2 1 20 30 -
J. Springer * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 3 11 -
M. Lenox * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 6 10 -
J. Simmons 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 13 16 -
A. Stire 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 2 7 -
M. Williams 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
W. Thornton 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Gramling 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter