Model Predictions
| Model | Army Black Knights | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | +11.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +17 (57-40). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Ellis | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Josh Herbeck | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Maxwell Lenox | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Julian Simmons | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Mo Williams | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Springer | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Stire | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Chris Gramling | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Whit Thornton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Hinkle | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Daniel Munoz | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Troy Brewer | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Blake Jolivette | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Riley Grafft | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Simon McCormack | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| John Schoof | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Joe Hill | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Fisher | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Bersch | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter