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Arkansas State Red Wolves

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History
Coach: Ryan Pannone

2025 Team Stats (9 games)

78.3
PPG
70.3
Opp
+7.5
Margin
40.9%
FG%
29.8%
3P%
67.4%
FT%
41.9
RPG
12.2
APG
12.8
TO
88.0
Pace
78.4
AdjO
71.9
AdjD
#92
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1106 (#90) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1149 (#74) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +6.7 (#88) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.780 (#37) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.770 (#39) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.3 More → 0.722 (#94) AdjNet +8.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.3 More → 0.722 (#95) AdjNet +8.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.644 (#92) AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 71.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 79 - 88
2024-11-12 vs Little Rock Trojans W 80 - 63
2024-11-16 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 59 - 49
2024-11-22 vs Lane College Dragons W 103 - 60
2024-11-29 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 86 - 81
2024-11-30 @ Rice Owls L 67 - 75
2024-12-01 @ Hofstra Pride L 66 - 68
2024-12-05 vs Jackson State Tigers W 66 - 64
2024-12-08 @ Memphis Tigers W 85 - 72
2024-12-12 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 83 - 79
2024-12-15 @ UAB Blazers W 98 - 89
2025-01-02 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 78 - 59
2025-01-04 @ James Madison Dukes L 62 - 67

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Taryn Todd Taryn Todd G 13 30.5 17.2 4.6 3.2 1.2 0.5 2.1 15.2 9.5 178 5.1 7.3 40.1 39.1 66.1 1.96 49.9 46.4
K. Julien K. Julien F 11 28.2 13.5 5.6 1.6 1.4 0.6 2.2 10.5 10.2 111 3.7 5.9 39.1 27.5 75.0 0.62 52.7 45.2
J. Pinion J. Pinion G 13 20.1 8.8 3.9 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.1 6.8 7.4 153 5.7 8.6 44.9 36.9 78.6 2.04 60.4 58.4
D. Ford D. Ford G 12 20.1 7.8 3.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 7.8 3.2 -127 -5.1 -8.5 31.9 24.5 81.5 -0.63 44.4 38.3
I. Nelson I. Nelson - 9 18.3 7.0 5.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7 5.4 8.7 159 6.6 11.9 46.9 0.0 81.0 1.48 54.1 46.9
T. Ford Jr. T. Ford Jr. G 12 24.7 6.9 2.5 2.8 0.6 0.0 2.0 5.9 4.8 87 2.8 4.2 38.0 31.0 55.6 0.3 47.8 44.4
R. Marshall R. Marshall F 13 24.3 6.6 7.0 0.5 0.2 0.8 0.8 3.8 10.5 110 3.3 6.5 57.1 0 68.2 0.95 62.9 57.1
Dyondre Dominguez Dyondre Dominguez F 12 11.2 4.0 2.8 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 2.8 4.2 42 2.3 9.8 45.5 35.0 64.7 0.04 59.3 56.1
Avery Felts Avery Felts G 13 16.7 3.5 1.9 0.8 1.3 0.2 0.4 3.4 3.8 92 5.4 53.2 31.8 32.6 60.0 -0.15 48.7 47.7
J. Johnson J. Johnson G 9 7.3 3.3 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.4 119 7.9 18.1 57.9 28.6 60.0 0.84 64.1 63.2
C. Head C. Head - 12 7.7 3.1 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.8 2.9 2.0 -4 -0.6 -3.2 42.9 22.2 83.3 -0.42 49.1 45.7
J. Hill J. Hill F 9 7.1 2.4 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 2.6 2.3 -2 -0.4 -7.8 30.4 18.8 62.5 -1.01 41.5 37.0
Kameron Johnson Kameron Johnson - 8 5.0 1.5 1.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.4 3 1.0 18.0 66.7 0 80.0 -1.14 81.1 66.7
Zane Butler Zane Butler - 3 6.3 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.0 0.0 14 2.0 65.8 16.7 20.0 50.0 -1.06 29.1 25.0
F. Hicks F. Hicks G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -17 -2.4 -4.1 - - - 0.1 - -
O. Curtis O. Curtis G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
J. St. Clair J. St. Clair - 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG