Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +12.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +5 (86-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Teel * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -4.5 |
| A. Gray * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | -11.1 |
| M. Harding * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | -13.2 |
| B. Alocen * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -11.7 |
| J. Summers * | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -8.4 |
| C. Wagner | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +15.4 |
| K. Doughty | 23 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7.3 |
| J. Daughtry | 19 | 10-11 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | +3.8 |
| J. LeGree | 19 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | +3.1 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ford * | 32 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | +7.2 |
| K. Julien * | 27 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +11.8 |
| T. Todd * | 27 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | +8.5 |
| T. Ford Jr. * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +6.3 |
| R. Marshall * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | +5.5 |
| A. Felts | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -6.7 |
| J. Pinion | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4.8 |
| I. Nelson | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +6.9 |
| C. Head | 7 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +1.1 |
| J. Hill | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5.1 |
| J. Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.1 |
| D. Dominguez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter