Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.4 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +9 (88-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Julien * | 34 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 10-12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | -2.6 |
| T. Todd * | 32 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12 | -2.5 |
| T. Ford Jr. * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +4.6 |
| R. Marshall * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -8.7 |
| D. Ford * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +1.7 |
| J. Johnson | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +8.9 |
| J. Pinion | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -4.1 |
| J. Hill | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -11.1 |
| A. Felts | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6.9 |
| D. Dominguez | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
| C. Head | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +4.3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sears * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 11-16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | +8.0 |
| L. Philon * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +7.2 |
| D. Reid * | 20 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -9.9 |
| C. Omoruyi * | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | -5.0 |
| J. Stevenson * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +7.3 |
| L. Wrightsell Jr. | 30 | 2-11 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +12.8 |
| G. Nelson | 27 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +10.7 |
| M. Dioubate | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -5.9 |
| A. Sherrell | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1.8 |
| A. Holloway | 10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +2.8 |
* = starter