Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Hofstra Pride | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.5% | 19.5% | -7.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Hofstra Pride +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ford * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | -9.8 |
| K. Julien * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | -8.9 |
| T. Todd * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -17.5 |
| T. Ford Jr. * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2 | -8.5 |
| R. Marshall * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| I. Nelson | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -5.1 |
| J. Pinion | 16 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +9.3 |
| A. Felts | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.2 |
| C. Head | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +1.9 |
| D. Dominguez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| J. Hill | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -5.2 |
Hofstra Pride
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Aranguren * | 37 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | -0.9 |
| C. Davis * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 11-14 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | +9.8 |
| J. Sanders * | 33 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -3 | +10.3 |
| M. Graham * | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | +1.3 |
| TJ Gadsden * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +16.3 |
| K. Farmer | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +12.1 |
| S. Sunday | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| K. Robinson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +7.9 |
| G. Plotnikov | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -6.8 |
* = starter