Arkansas State Red Wolves
2007 Team Stats (2 games)
70.0
PPG
79.5
Opp
-9.5
Margin
47.0%
FG%
37.9%
3P%
81.4%
FT%
35.0
RPG
13.0
APG
20.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.1
Adj PPG
71.6
Adj Opp PPG
#219
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2006-2007
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 971 (#172) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 970 (#181) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1039 (#112) | HCA +118 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.1 (#227) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.4 (#203) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.460 (#178) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.298 (#216) | AdjNet -7.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.294 (#217) | AdjNet -7.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.398 (#219) | AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.473 (#183) | AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 69.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.434 (#192) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.449 (#187) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1003 (#161) | RD 138 | GP 31 |
2007 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006-11-10 | @ | Clemson Tigers | L | 44 - 83 |
| 2006-11-11 | @ | Old Dominion Monarchs | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2006-11-12 | vs | Monmouth Hawks | L | 67 - 69 |
| 2006-11-16 | vs | Bowling Green Falcons | W | 64 - 54 |
| 2006-11-18 | vs | Lyon College Scots | W | 87 - 51 |
| 2006-11-20 | @ | UT Martin Skyhawks | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2006-11-25 | vs | Austin Peay Governors | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2006-11-27 | @ | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | L | 78 - 84 |
| 2006-11-29 | @ | Memphis Tigers | L | 60 - 86 |
| 2006-12-02 | @ | Eastern Illinois Panthers | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2006-12-04 | @ | Bowling Green Falcons | L | 72 - 81 |
| 2006-12-09 | vs | Arkansas Tech Wonder Boys | W | 86 - 74 |
| 2006-12-14 | vs | Denver Pioneers | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2006-12-17 | @ | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2006-12-28 | vs | South Alabama Jaguars | L | 78 - 91 |
| 2007-01-04 | @ | UL Monroe Warhawks | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2007-01-06 | vs | North Texas Mean Green | W | 84 - 60 |
| 2007-01-11 | vs | Little Rock Trojans | W | 77 - 51 |
| 2007-01-13 | @ | Troy Trojans | L | 79 - 87 |
| 2007-01-17 | @ | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | W | 54 - 51 |
| 2007-01-25 | vs | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | W | 76 - 75 |
| 2007-01-27 | @ | Florida International Panthers | L | 61 - 80 |
| 2007-01-31 | vs | Florida Atlantic Owls | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2007-02-04 | @ | Denver Pioneers | L | 68 - 76 |
| 2007-02-08 | vs | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2007-02-11 | @ | South Alabama Jaguars | L | 67 - 85 |
| 2007-02-15 | vs | New Orleans Privateers | W | 90 - 79 |
| 2007-02-17 | vs | UL Monroe Warhawks | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2007-02-22 | @ | North Texas Mean Green | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2007-02-24 | @ | Little Rock Trojans | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2007-03-04 | vs | New Orleans Privateers | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2007-03-05 | vs | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2007-03-06 | vs | North Texas Mean Green | L | 75 - 83 |
2007 Roster
No roster data available for this season.