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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
Elo 61.9% 38.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 (12.2 off)
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -

Actual: Little Rock Trojans +16 (64-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Banks 39 7-18 1-3 3-3 8 2 0 0 1 18 9 -
I. Wells 37 6-14 0-3 2-4 3 2 0 2 3 14 4 -
S. Morgan 34 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 3 8 5 -
R. Wedel 31 2-10 1-5 2-2 0 4 0 0 1 7 0 -
J. Jones 27 3-6 0-1 2-5 7 2 1 0 1 8 11 -
A. Ajasin 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 1 4 10 -
T. Little 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 2 2 -
K. Gant 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Farmer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Jones-Jennings 37 2-9 0-0 5-11 19 1 1 2 1 9 22 -
T. Akins 35 4-8 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 11 3 -
L. Malone 28 2-9 0-4 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 4 3 -
S. Moore 27 3-9 0-3 3-4 2 4 0 0 3 9 3 -
B. Ray 22 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 2 4 6 4 -
L. Razz 15 2-5 0-0 3-3 2 1 1 0 2 7 4 -
R. Moss 13 1-4 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 1 2 5 5 -
B. Harding 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
B. Nichols 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Johnson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter