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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 73
@
Arkansas State Red Wolves 80
2007-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 67.0% 33.0% - ✗
Margin 64.9% 35.1% -3.4 ✗ (10.4 off)
Efficiency 6.8% 93.2% - ✓

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lee * 33 6-13 3-7 2-2 3 2 3 1 1 17 12 -
T. Brazelton * 26 3-10 1-3 4-6 1 6 0 0 5 11 3 -
J. Evans * 24 3-3 0-0 4-6 3 0 0 2 1 10 11 -
T. Rogers * 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 5 0 0 0 3 6 -
M. Maresca * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Mendez-Valdez 29 4-12 2-8 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 12 3 -
D. Emerson 17 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
B. Jointer 17 4-5 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 9 8 -
A.J. Slaughter 14 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 5 0 -
B. Siakam 8 2-3 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 3 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Banks * 39 8-12 2-4 11-11 5 1 1 0 4 29 20 -
I. Wells * 35 3-10 0-2 5-5 10 3 1 1 4 11 12 -
J. Jones * 32 3-6 0-1 5-6 4 2 1 0 3 11 9 -
S. Morgan * 30 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 1 2 5 8 -
T. Little * 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 2 4 -
R. Wedel 34 5-9 4-7 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 16 11 -
K. Gant 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
A. Ajasin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Farmer 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter