Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | +5.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +18 (85-67). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Banks * | 39 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Wedel * | 36 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jim Jones * | 35 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Isaac Wells * | 33 | 8-21 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Shawn Morgan * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Theo Little | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ashton Farmer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Yual Banks | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Abayomi Ajasin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kewain Gant | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darrel Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bennett * | 31 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Carlos Smith * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Ernest Little * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Daon Merritt * | 25 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Leandro Buboltz * | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Stephen Cowherd | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Davis | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Trajinski Grigsby | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| H. Brown | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Philip Tabet | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Charles Tabet | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darren Cloud | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter