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Arkansas

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arkansas Razorbacks, Arkansas
Program History
Coach: Mike Anderson Sr

2017 Team Stats (8 games)

72.0
PPG
74.2
Opp
-2.2
Margin
43.2%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
79.2%
FT%
33.8
RPG
10.8
APG
12.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
80.7
Adj PPG
68.7
Adj Opp PPG
#36
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1278 (#40) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1256 (#30) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 1121 (#34) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +13.1 (#37) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +14.9 (#26) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.694 (#67) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.2 More → 0.891 (#42) AdjNet +18.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.4 More → 0.893 (#43) AdjNet +18.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 68.7 More → 0.749 (#36) AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 68.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 68.8 More → 0.682 (#33) AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 68.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.805 (#32) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.794 (#32) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 36 More → 1243 (#38) RD 100 | GP 36

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 92 - 83
2016-11-14 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 90 - 65
2016-11-18 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 71 - 67
2016-11-22 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 71 - 85
2016-11-28 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 89 - 76
2016-12-01 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 78 - 62
2016-12-03 vs Austin Peay Governors W 99 - 62
2016-12-06 vs Houston Cougars W 84 - 72
2016-12-10 vs North Florida Ospreys W 91 - 76
2016-12-17 @ Texas Longhorns W 77 - 74
2016-12-20 vs North Dakota State Bison W 71 - 55
2016-12-22 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 90 - 56
2016-12-29 vs Florida Gators L 72 - 81
2017-01-03 @ Tennessee Volunteers W 82 - 78
2017-01-07 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 71 - 97
2017-01-10 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs L 78 - 84
2017-01-14 vs Missouri Tigers W 92 - 73
2017-01-17 @ Texas A&M Aggies W 62 - 60
2017-01-21 vs LSU Tigers W 99 - 86
2017-01-24 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 71 - 70
2017-01-28 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 71 - 99
2017-02-01 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 87 - 68
2017-02-04 @ Missouri Tigers L 78 - 83
2017-02-07 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 59 - 72
2017-02-11 @ LSU Tigers W 78 - 70
2017-02-15 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 83 - 76
2017-02-18 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 98 - 80
2017-02-22 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 86 - 77
2017-02-25 @ Auburn Tigers W 79 - 68
2017-03-01 @ Florida Gators L 65 - 78
2017-03-04 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 85 - 67
2017-03-10 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 73 - 72
2017-03-11 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 76 - 62
2017-03-12 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 65 - 82
2017-03-17 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 77 - 71
2017-03-19 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 65 - 72

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Daryl Macon Daryl Macon G 19 25.4 14.2 2.4 2.1 1.1 0.1 1.6 4.2 13.9 115 32 3.6 6.2 52.5 45.7 85.2 0.22 130.1 62.5
Dusty Hannahs Dusty Hannahs G 19 25.2 13.6 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 1.5 5.4 9.7 183 32 5.7 10.3 41.2 36.7 96.8 3.2 112.0 50.0
Jaylen Barford Jaylen Barford G 19 25.6 12.8 3.8 1.6 1.4 0.1 2.1 7.2 10.3 145 32 4.5 7.8 40.1 28.9 92.3 1.29 81.9 44.2
Moses Kingsley Moses Kingsley F 19 28.8 12.3 8.2 1.2 0.8 2.3 2.0 5.7 17.0 164 32 5.1 7.9 44.4 33.3 68.3 3.4 92.4 44.9
Anton Beard Anton Beard G 19 20.0 6.8 2.2 1.5 1.4 0.1 0.9 2.3 8.7 91 32 2.8 5.7 36.4 31.6 71.4 -0.38 137.0 43.2
Manuale Watkins Manuale Watkins G 19 23.4 6.3 4.4 2.0 1.3 0.1 0.6 2.6 10.9 128 32 4.0 7.7 56.0 40.0 66.7 0.41 116.9 60.0
Dustin Thomas Dustin Thomas F 19 20.5 5.6 3.8 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.2 2.4 8.2 146 32 4.6 10.9 53.3 50.0 45.5 1.38 107.3 54.4
Arlando Cook Arlando Cook F 19 10.6 1.9 2.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.1 3.2 29 32 0.9 3.4 33.3 0 62.5 -0.24 73.4 33.3
C.J. Jones C.J. Jones G 9 5.2 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.2 -21 17 -1.2 -8.0 25.0 33.3 100.0 -4.62 163.9 37.5
Trey Thompson Trey Thompson F 19 13.2 1.7 2.7 1.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 6.2 116 32 3.6 11.6 38.5 0 55.6 5.63 94.3 38.5
Adrio Bailey Adrio Bailey F 11 7.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.6 2.2 -13 24 -0.5 -3.1 28.6 0 50.0 -3.16 107.9 28.6
Brachen Hazen Brachen Hazen F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -31 10 -3.1 -37.3 0 0 0 -5.0 0 0
Jonathan Holmes Jonathan Holmes G 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG