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2016-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 65.8% 34.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 51.5% 48.5% -0.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 66.0% 34.0% -
Efficiency 80.8% 19.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.7% 26.3% -
Log Adjusted 73.7% 26.3% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -9 (72-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Allen * 34 7-16 5-9 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 21 8 -
K. Hill * 33 4-12 0-0 2-5 2 6 1 0 4 10 3 -
D. Robinson * 31 6-11 0-5 5-7 7 0 1 3 1 17 16 -
J. Leon * 25 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 6 6 -
K. Hayes * 22 4-5 0-0 2-5 6 0 1 1 1 10 12 -
J. Egbunu 16 2-6 0-0 1-2 11 1 1 1 1 5 12 -
C. Chiozza 15 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 5 4 -
C. Barry 12 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Stone 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
S. Rimmer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Macon * 33 7-10 3-5 5-6 4 1 1 0 1 22 17 -
M. Kingsley * 32 5-15 0-0 3-6 14 1 0 4 3 13 14 -
D. Hannahs * 27 4-9 2-6 1-1 2 0 1 1 2 11 4 -
M. Watkins * 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
D. Thomas * 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 0 -
A. Beard 24 3-5 1-2 3-3 0 1 2 0 2 10 6 -
A. Cook 21 2-5 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 1 1 8 6 -
J. Barford 17 1-8 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 -2 -
T. Thompson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
A. Bailey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter