Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +17 (82-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hazen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Barford * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| D. Hannahs * | 27 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | - |
| M. Kingsley * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Watkins * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Macon | 31 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| T. Thompson | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| A. Beard | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| A. Cook | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Briscoe * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Adebayo * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| M. Monk * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D. Willis * | 26 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| D. Fox * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| D. Hawkins | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| M. Mulder | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| I. Humphries | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Gabriel | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Calipari | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter