Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | +13.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +17 (82-65). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Barford * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Dusty Hannahs * | 27 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Manuale Watkins * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Moses Kingsley * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dustin Thomas * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Daryl Macon | 31 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Trey Thompson | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Anton Beard | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Arlando Cook | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brachen Hazen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Briscoe * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Malik Monk * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Derek Willis * | 26 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Mychal Mulder | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Isaac Humphries | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brad Calipari | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter