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Arkansas

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Arkansas Razorbacks, Arkansas
Program History
Coach: Mike Anderson Sr

2015 Team Stats (22 games)

76.2
PPG
74.5
Opp
+1.7
Margin
44.2%
FG%
36.2%
3P%
72.8%
FT%
33.3
RPG
15.2
APG
11.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
78.2
Adj PPG
66.1
Adj Opp PPG
#26
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1263 (#32) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1260 (#19) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 1119 (#29) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +13.0 (#25) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +11.4 (#26) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.757 (#42) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.3 More → 0.912 (#27) AdjNet +20.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.5 More → 0.914 (#28) AdjNet +20.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 66.1 More → 0.750 (#26) AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 66.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 66.8 More → 0.656 (#32) AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 66.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.809 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.794 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 36 More → 1275 (#23) RD 104 | GP 36

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-16 vs Alabama State Hornets W 97 - 79
2014-11-19 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 83 - 53
2014-11-21 vs Delaware State Hornets W 99 - 71
2014-11-25 @ SMU Mustangs W 78 - 72
2014-11-28 vs North Texas Mean Green W 89 - 73
2014-11-30 vs Iona Gaels W 94 - 77
2014-12-04 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 77 - 95
2014-12-07 @ Clemson Tigers L 65 - 68
2014-12-13 vs Dayton Flyers W 69 - 55
2014-12-20 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 84 - 67
2014-12-22 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 84 - 54
2014-12-28 vs Northwestern State Demons W 100 - 92
2015-01-03 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 79 - 46
2015-01-06 @ Georgia Bulldogs W 79 - 75
2015-01-10 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 82 - 70
2015-01-13 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 69 - 74
2015-01-17 vs Ole Miss Rebels L 82 - 96
2015-01-22 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 93 - 91
2015-01-24 @ Missouri Tigers W 61 - 60
2015-01-27 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 69 - 64
2015-01-31 @ Florida Gators L 56 - 57
2015-02-03 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 75 - 55
2015-02-07 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 61 - 41
2015-02-10 @ Auburn Tigers W 101 - 87
2015-02-14 @ Ole Miss Rebels W 71 - 70
2015-02-18 vs Missouri Tigers W 84 - 69
2015-02-21 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs W 65 - 61
2015-02-24 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 81 - 75
2015-02-28 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 67 - 84
2015-03-05 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 78 - 74
2015-03-07 vs LSU Tigers L 78 - 81
2015-03-13 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 80 - 72
2015-03-14 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 60 - 49
2015-03-15 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 63 - 78
2015-03-19 vs Wofford Terriers W 56 - 53
2015-03-21 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 78 - 87

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bobby Portis Bobby Portis F 34 30.0 17.3 8.8 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.6 10.3 17.9 242 33 7.3 10.7 53.6 40.9 73.0 2.33 72.8 54.9
Michael Qualls Michael Qualls G 34 30.2 15.5 5.3 1.6 0.9 0.5 1.8 9.3 12.7 234 33 7.1 10.2 44.0 35.9 77.1 2.5 68.6 51.4
Rashad Madden Rashad Madden G 34 27.1 9.4 3.7 4.4 0.9 0.1 2.3 5.3 10.8 218 33 6.6 10.6 41.4 34.1 86.2 2.71 71.7 50.0
Anthlon Bell Anthlon Bell G 34 18.1 7.9 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.9 5.7 4.4 118 33 3.6 8.7 35.2 33.3 72.0 0.0 65.4 47.7
Alandise Harris Alandise Harris F 33 21.9 7.8 3.2 1.6 0.8 1.1 1.2 4.3 9.0 174 32 5.4 11.1 45.5 24.0 72.9 2.11 76.1 47.6
Anton Beard Anton Beard G 34 19.0 5.7 1.9 1.5 0.9 0.0 0.9 3.9 5.2 155 32 4.8 11.2 40.2 38.6 58.1 2.36 64.6 50.4
Jacorey Williams Jacorey Williams F 34 15.9 4.6 2.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.9 3.7 4.7 109 33 3.3 9.1 38.1 0 42.5 2.35 54.0 38.1
Moses Kingsley Moses Kingsley F 34 10.7 3.5 2.5 0.3 0.4 1.0 0.6 1.8 5.4 23 33 0.7 2.8 45.9 0 69.7 -3.14 79.4 45.9
Manuale Watkins Manuale Watkins G 34 14.0 2.6 2.1 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.8 1.3 4.7 118 33 3.6 11.0 48.9 0.0 72.2 3.03 82.2 48.9
Jabril Durham Jabril Durham G 34 9.7 1.8 0.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 1.3 2.0 17 32 0.5 2.2 34.1 39.3 50.0 -2.42 65.6 46.6
Nick Weiler-Babb Nick Weiler-Babb G 24 4.8 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.7 43 23 1.9 15.7 20.0 33.3 100.0 1.48 78.1 25.0
Trey Thompson Trey Thompson F 12 2.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.8 -6 11 -0.5 -7.8 0 0 100.0 -3.16 284.1 0
Keaton Miles Keaton Miles F 15 2.9 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0 15 0.0 0.0 33.3 0 0.0 -2.53 51.5 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG