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2015-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.4% 78.6% - โœ“
Margin 15.3% 84.7% +9.4 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.0% 85.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.8% 85.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Richardson * 38 7-13 1-2 2-2 2 6 2 0 1 17 13 -
Armani Moore * 35 3-11 1-1 5-6 6 2 2 0 3 12 8 -
Robert Hubbs * 31 6-11 2-3 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 15 9 -
Kevin Punter * 30 4-10 0-4 2-4 3 2 4 0 4 10 5 -
Derek Reese * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 0 5 -
Devon Baulkman 14 1-5 0-2 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
Willie Carmichael 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
Tariq Owens 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
Detrick Mostella 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Qualls * 32 5-11 2-5 5-7 6 4 0 1 3 17 14 -
Rashad Madden * 32 2-9 2-7 3-4 3 3 1 0 3 9 4 -
Bobby Portis * 32 6-8 0-0 5-6 8 1 0 1 3 17 16 -
Alandise Harris * 30 5-9 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 10 6 -
Anthlon Bell * 15 2-8 0-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 4 1 -
Anton Beard 18 4-5 2-3 0-3 0 1 0 0 1 10 5 -
Moses Kingsley 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 2 0 2 6 -
Manuale Watkins 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 0 5 -
Jabril Durham 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 0 1 -
Jacorey Williams 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Nick Weiler-Babb 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -

* = starter