Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -4 (61-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Qualls * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| R. Madden * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
| B. Portis * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| A. Beard * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Harris * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Williams | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Bell | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Kingsley | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| M. Watkins | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Durham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bloodman * | 39 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Sword * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-8 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| G. Ware * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Daniels * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| F. Thomas | 17 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| F. Ndoye | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Black | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Houston | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
* = starter